TLT LONG prediction · arkinvest · Pending
we wouldn't be surprised to see long rates back into the 3% range in an inverted yield curve environment... but if you look back at the last time we were in an innovation cycle like this late 1800s early 1900s the yield curve was inverted almost all the time on average by about a 100 basis points and up to 500 basis points. And that's because short rates were following nominal GDP growth, but long rates were much more focused on the deflationary um impact of these new technologies... I do think that we're in for a period of I'm going to say the next three years of some of the most amazing economic statistics from a positive point of view and uh, low uh, surprises on the inflation front. You can say it's Goldilocks.
- Channel
- arkinvest
- Prediction date
- 2026-01-09
- Horizon
- 2027-12-31
- Instrument
- TLT · LONG
- Verdict
- Pending
- Outcome
- <strong>Horizon: </strong><span data-horizon-date="2027-12-31" data-lang-zh="0">2027-12-31 · <strong>488</strong> days remaining</span>
Source: Source · 57:21 ↗