Pundit Scorecard

Finance YouTubers make bold stock calls. Their horizons expire — who nailed it? Who blew up? Simulated P/L public.

12Pundits tracked 2939Predictions logged 701Bullseyes 561Misses

🏆 The Scoreboard

⚡ Short <60 days

📈 Mid 60-360 days

🌳 Long >360 days

Dataset scope: 2939 total predictions; 1851 decided; 701 hit, 589 partial, 561 miss, 1084 pending, 4 unverifiable.

💡 Three time horizons: Short <60d · Mid 60-360d · Long >360d
💰 Avg P/L = equal-weight blind-follower model — average return per decided call

💸 Spectacular Misses

Sorted by loss magnitude. Up to 3 cards per pundit.

Gareth Soloway · 2026-05-15
📈 Mid #AI & Chips
Miss
MU SHORT
SanDisk? SanDisk nasty fall. Look at this. It's below 1300. It was up to 1,600 just a few week few days ago. Now what about a draw down on this? What if we do …
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -38583.0% · vs SPY -38080.0%
Mad Money · 2025-06-05
🌳 Long #Other Stocks
Miss
GNRC SHORT
Got hit by tariffs. Uh, as soon as you hear tariffs, unfortunately, the market runs. I agree with you that it's a great company, but I've got to tell you somet…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -10703.0% · vs SPY -8266.0%
📈 Mid #AI & Chips
Miss
SOXX SHORT
你会看到急剧的回调。今天只是个小小的预告,但你会看到这些股票一天之内下跌 10% 到 20%。 所以做好准备吧
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -10245.0% · vs SPY -9780.0%
Benjamin Cowen · 2025-07-24
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
ETH-USD LONG
I think that ETH has bottomed against Bitcoin. So, if I'm right about that, which is a big F, I think it's bottomed for this cycle
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -4983.0% · vs SPY -399.0%
Joseph Carlson · 2024-06-18
🌳 Long #Software / SaaS
Miss
CRM LONG
the worst stock of of all my worst Loser by far this year is Salesforce... my favorite situation is when a stock is moving in the wrong direction when people a…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -3365.0% · vs SPY -6979.0%
TheChartGuys · 2026-05-23
📈 Mid #Healthcare & Biotech
Miss
XLV SHORT
again, I'm using the term lead 2026 bull because we started extremely strong, that's no longer the case, but uh it's a grouping, that's how I mentally have the…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -3229.0% · vs SPY -2959.0%
ZipTrader · 2025-08-18
🌳 Long #Financials
Miss
SOFI LONG
I believe it has significantly more to run. And you got to make sure that this is a top stock on your radar
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2712.0% · vs SPY -4641.0%
IBD Live · 2025-07-25
🌳 Long #Mega-Cap Tech
Miss
MSFT LONG
It's definitely improved... rebounded a little bit like Nvidia which had gone sideways for quite a while. Microsoft went sideways came back and now has roared …
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2510.0% · vs SPY -4109.0%
Meet Kevin · 2026-02-04
📈 Mid #Market Indexes
Miss
SPY SHORT
We are going into a regime where risk assets likely continue to go down. Leverage or debt becomes toxic and ironically bonds end up start end up starting to ac…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1271.0% · vs SPY -31.0%
Sven Carlin · 2023-06-20
🌳 Long #Other Stocks
Miss
UL SHORT
the reward is below market and better by the S P 500 for sure and the risk is a little bit higher
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1155.0% · vs SPY +5926.0%
ARK Invest · 2025-07-16
🌳 Long #Cannabis / Speculative
Miss
ARKW LONG
Maybe for the uh maybe for the 200th episode of Brainstorm, all three of us will be generated by V5 V6... So, I I don't think we even make it to 150 before we'…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -670.0% · vs SPY -2696.0%
Aswath Damodaran · 2023-06-13
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Miss
NVDA SHORT
I just told you my value is 240 dollars per [share] the stock is trading at 410. and I should sell right ... so I split the difference I know it's it's weaseli…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $40.99 → Exit $144.98 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -142.1% · Target $240.00
Mad Money · 2025-06-24
🌳 Long #Software / SaaS
Miss
CRWD LONG
Next discipline, you're a little bit too overweighted in Crowd Strike, but I do like Crowd Strike very much. Why don't you take it down a percent? Just take it…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -6534.0% · vs SPY -8618.0%
Gareth Soloway · 2026-05-18
📈 Mid #Crypto
Miss
AVAX-USD LONG
the table. It is what it is. That's where it's all at. You guys have a great one. Thank you so much for tuning in. I'll talk to you soon. Take care. >> Mhm.
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -3405.0% · vs SPY -3795.0%
Joseph Carlson · 2025-06-06
🌳 Long #EVs & Autos
Miss
TSLA SHORT
Tesla is now left to its own devices with regulation. Elon Musk made sure of that yesterday and that is not good for the Tesla investor
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -3248.0% · vs SPY -938.0%
TheChartGuys · 2026-05-23
📈 Mid #Energy
Miss
XLE LONG
We did break resistance, but it's a double top at this point. Memory, same thing. So memory, the most likely scenario for me is the daily lower high and then a…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2685.0% · vs SPY -2954.0%
📈 Mid #AI & Chips
Miss
MRVL SHORT
betting on. I think there is technical confirmation or support to that thesis. Next, we have Marvell. And right now, the stock is trading at $150. That's being…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2220.0% · vs SPY -1831.0%
IBD Live · 2025-08-01
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Miss
PLTR LONG
This has been a stellar performer... it does feel like they're getting contracts. It does feel like they are a winner in all of this... Palantir is really cash…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2023.0% · vs SPY -4039.0%
Benjamin Cowen · 2026-04-01
📈 Mid #Market Indexes
Miss
SPY SHORT
the S&P will likely get a rally back up to the bull market support band, and that'll take a month or two, and then it'll then get rejected and go down
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1401.0% · vs SPY +0.0%
ARK Invest · 2025-07-16
🌳 Long #Mega-Cap Tech
Miss
META LONG
you're seeing them spend very aggressively, but I think the opportunity this time makes significantly more sense... investors maybe seeing uh signs of uh you k…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -524.0% · vs SPY -2550.0%
Meet Kevin · 2026-05-15
⚡ Short #Mega-Cap Tech
Miss
MSFT LONG
Microsoft this morning was at $395 and we called for Microsoft as a buy the dip and an easy opportunity to see it cross well into 400, possibly towards 420. Ob…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -505.0% · vs SPY -717.0% · Target $420.00
ZipTrader · 2026-03-16
📈 Mid #Other Stocks
Miss
UCO LONG
Strategy number three, buy thematic short-term trades like UCO
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -413.0% · vs SPY -1628.0%
Aswath Damodaran · 2024-02-09
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Miss
NVDA SHORT
And invid at 56% [overvalued]... Now Stocks at 680 you know part of me says sell everything you've got left but I don't think I want to I want to I think I'll …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $72.09 → Exit $190.03 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -141.9%
Sven Carlin · 2019-05-01
🌳 Long #EVs & Autos
Miss
TSLA SHORT
yeah I would say a the the on my evaluation this thing would go to 20 my was 42 so I'm not a positive than you as even a repair I am I think it's 20 because th…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $15.60 → Exit $280.52 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -210.0% · Target $20.00
Mad Money · 2025-06-06
🌳 Long #Other Stocks
Miss
CHWY LONG
By the way, this CEO called the bottom on our show. I thought it was pretty great. I'm going I think you can continue to win
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -5719.0% · vs SPY -8029.0%
Gareth Soloway · 2026-04-25
⚡ Short #Crypto
Miss
ETH-USD LONG
ETH... I wouldn't be surprised if ETH has one more move up, maybe to about 26 to 2800
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2937.0% · vs SPY -880.0%
TheChartGuys · 2026-05-23
📈 Mid #Market Indexes
Miss
SPY SHORT
uh similar to like this guy, right? Let him punch it and then we can look for the back test against the low of the range. So, that'd be like the low of this gu…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1762.0% · vs SPY -1493.0%
Benjamin Cowen · 2026-04-30
📈 Mid #Energy
Miss
USO LONG
Middle East are causing energy prices to go higher, which will cause inflation to go up in the short term.
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1333.0% · vs SPY -1654.0%
📈 Mid #Market Indexes
Miss
EWY SHORT
like Tesla might reverse a little bit more. If we segue to the unusual activities, we have the EWY. This is the South Korean ETF, and right now trading about $…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -747.0% · vs SPY -359.0%
ZipTrader · 2026-05-17
⚡ Short #AI & Chips
Miss
CRWV LONG
Number four, CoreWeave (CRWV). Still well below highs, but I believe June will be a strong month... NVDA reports earnings 3 days from now on May 20 — CRWV will…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -408.0% · vs SPY -510.0%
Meet Kevin · 2026-05-16
📈 Mid #Bonds / Rates
Miss
TLT LONG
I sort of circled how we've broken through these on the 10-year and the 30-year in the past. So it has happened before and we tend to retrace. So I don't think…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -194.0% · vs SPY -697.0%
ARK Invest · 2020-06-26
🌳 Long #Other Stocks
Miss
SECTOR:FINANCIALS SHORT
the traditional financial services sector is going to be disrupted mightily during the next five to ten years
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $20.38 → Exit $51.18 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -219.0%
Aswath Damodaran · 2020-08-16
🌳 Long #Mega-Cap Tech
Miss
GOOGL SHORT
Two were mildly overvalued, Google and Netflix, overvalued by less than 10%.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $75.19 → Exit $137.18 · P/L -82.4% · vs SPY -116.7%
Sven Carlin · 2017-10-07
🌳 Long #Gold & Commodities
Miss
MACRO:WTI SHORT
I would expect prices to drop again even below 40 when there is again an oil glut which will be volatile
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $49.29 → Exit $74.29 · P/L -50.7% · vs SPY -65.9% · Target $40.00
IBD Live · 2025-04-11
🌳 Long #Other Stocks
Miss
UAL SHORT
Travels is in real trouble... business travel slowing down, government travel slowing down. There's just a lot of things, a lot of headwinds right now for airl…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $65.60 → Exit $96.40 · P/L -47.0% · vs SPY -75.7%
Joseph Carlson · 2024-09-27
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Miss
NVDA SHORT
I think Nvidia is a scary stock to be in right now... I came out with a video saying that I think that the AI bubble is about to pop... NVIDIA is at a point no…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $121.35 → Exit $178.17 · P/L -46.8% · vs SPY -64.0%

🎯 Spot-On Calls

Sorted by realized gain. Up to 3 per pundit.

ZipTrader · 2023-06-07
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Hit
PLTR LONG
I wouldn't go so far as to say $500 anytime soon, but $100 in the coming years, certainly a high possibility in my opinion.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +82260.0% · vs SPY +74969.0% · Target $100.00
Mad Money · 2025-06-09
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Hit
MU LONG
I've always liked AMD, as you know, Micron had a good quarter last time. I think it could go higher.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +74554.0% · vs SPY +72264.0%
IBD Live · 2025-08-01
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Hit
AMD LONG
It's not just that AMD's chips are seen maybe as competitive, but also other companies want to make sure they're not just reliant on Nvidia... next year is sup…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +17732.0% · vs SPY +15716.0%
Meet Kevin · 2026-04-11
📈 Mid #Other Stocks
Hit
SOXL LONG
We also made a call that hardware has done really well since the ceasefire announcement and likely would continue to do well since the ceasefire announcement c…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +15168.0% · vs SPY +14057.0%
ARK Invest · 2025-07-16
🌳 Long #Mega-Cap Tech
Hit
GOOGL LONG
if you look at that open router data it's the cheaper models and the more efficient models that are really seeing the most usage. So when these reasoning model…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +9416.0% · vs SPY +7390.0%
TheChartGuys · 2026-04-25
📈 Mid #AI & Chips
Hit
MU LONG
know, sometimes I'll grab a a bearish position and then stop out when the bulls prove that they're keeping their control, but for the most part, I'm looking lo…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +9014.0% · vs SPY +8591.0%
Joseph Carlson · 2025-07-24
🌳 Long #Mega-Cap Tech
Hit
GOOGL LONG
I believe Google's headed towards a stock price of $240 per share. We'll see how it goes from the current price to that number in this episode.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +6676.0% · vs SPY +5029.0% · Target $240.00
Gareth Soloway · 2026-04-23
📈 Mid #Macro / FX / Rates
Hit
USO LONG
short-term bullish on oil, but only up to about 103, 104.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +4683.0% · vs SPY +4264.0% · Target $104.00
Sven Carlin · 2023-06-11
🌳 Long #Financials
Hit
PYPL SHORT
I wouldn't touch it because I don't see being there in 10 years something else will come somebody will go after this market cap of 70 billion to make it easier…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +3494.0% · vs SPY +10656.0%
Benjamin Cowen · 2025-12-30
📈 Mid #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
I think the most likely outcome is a lower high whenever the rally happens.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +3378.0% · vs SPY +0.0%
📈 Mid #Market Indexes
Hit
ORCL SHORT
The devil top is the real deal. And speaking of the devil, we have Oracle, ORCL, now trading about 180. The trader here went way out of the money. 130 puts, th…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +1863.0% · vs SPY +2738.0%
Aswath Damodaran · 2022-11-15
🌳 Long #Mega-Cap Tech
Hit
META LONG
in February 2022 I did value Facebook on my blog ... the value per share that I got was about three forty six dollars February 2022 of course the stock was at …
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $116.17 → Exit $608.44 · P/L +423.8% · vs SPY +348.1% · Target $346.00
Mad Money · 2025-06-25
🌳 Long #Other Stocks
Hit
APLD LONG
Okay, this is high performance computing infrastructure and HP high performance computing is on fire. That company doesn't make any money, but I think it's a v…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +31701.0% · vs SPY +29606.0%
ZipTrader · 2025-07-15
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Hit
AMAT LONG
applied materials, AAT. For whatever reason, a lot of people overlook this stock, but we've been talking about it a lot and it's still screaming buy
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +19288.0% · vs SPY +17156.0%
IBD Live · 2025-08-01
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Hit
ALAB LONG
Really strong growth. Really strong growth. It's the latest new America... this is a hot stock. Everything seems to be going very well with this company.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +13740.0% · vs SPY +11724.0%
TheChartGuys · 2026-05-23
📈 Mid #Mega-Cap Tech
Hit
GOOGL LONG
谷歌股价在创下历史新高后,还有很大的上涨空间,有望形成更高的月度低点
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +8639.0% · vs SPY +8370.0%
Joseph Carlson · 2024-08-07
🌳 Long #Consumer / Retail
Hit
BKNG LONG
booking Holdings is a new position in my portfolio I've been buying into this one building up the position I bought more of it during the dip currently it's a …
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +6439.0% · vs SPY +1530.0%
Benjamin Cowen · 2025-11-23
📈 Mid #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
65,000 is probably where that 200-week moving average is going to be by mid-next year, if I had to guess.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +3254.0% · vs SPY +0.0% · Target $65,000.00
Gareth Soloway · 2026-03-30
📈 Mid #Market Indexes
Hit
INDEX:NDX LONG
here's your range from essentially right here at 2,700 down to 2,100... This is your buy zone. And again, very clean, very beautiful parallel... here's your zo…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +3190.0% · vs SPY +1374.0%
ARK Invest · 2025-06-07
🌳 Long #Market Indexes
Hit
SPY LONG
we think we think it will resolve on the upside here, not on the downside
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +2451.0% · vs SPY -533.0%
Meet Kevin · 2026-04-07
📈 Mid #Market Indexes
Hit
QQQ LONG
this actually potentially suggests there's more room to go to the upside. And this dip that we're seeing right now in futures is probably just going to wash aw…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +2053.0% · vs SPY +711.0%
GC=F SHORT
如果这里出现熊旗形态(就像我们之前两次看到的那样),并最终跌至 200 日移动平均线,我不会感到惊讶。事实上,这就是我目前的基本预测,即黄金和白银价格将跌至 200 日移动平均线
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +1697.0% · vs SPY +2086.0%
Sven Carlin · 2019-02-03
🌳 Long #EVs & Autos
Hit
TSLA LONG
as I told you yesterday in the news I'm bullish on Tesla but I'm investing in Copper in basic metals that have that have to be the basis of that EV trend elect…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $20.86 → Exit $297.05 · P/L +1324.0% · vs SPY +1251.3%
Aswath Damodaran · 2022-05-15
🌳 Long #Mega-Cap Tech
Hit
META LONG
When I did this only Facebook was significantly undervalued. I bought it there
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $198.48 → Exit $641.88 · P/L +223.4% · vs SPY +169.2%
Mad Money · 2025-06-10
🌳 Long #Other Stocks
Hit
NBIS LONG
I'm actually going to say that I think Nebius is going higher.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +30314.0% · vs SPY +28285.0%
Joseph Carlson · 2025-07-24
📈 Mid #Mega-Cap Tech
Hit
GOOGL LONG
I believe today's share price should be around $240. And I think there's a chance we get there by the end of this year.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +6218.0% · vs SPY +5469.0% · Target $240.00
TheChartGuys · 2025-08-16
🌳 Long #Gold & Commodities
Hit
GDX LONG
Bull control. Leg up. Hopefully leading the medals, but metals got to do it as well.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +5550.0% · vs SPY +3484.0%
ZipTrader · 2025-06-11
🌳 Long #AI & Chips
Hit
AVGO LONG
I think AVGO is set to print and looks like a long-term winner
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +5369.0% · vs SPY +3101.0%
IBD Live · 2025-08-01
🌳 Long #Software / SaaS
Hit
ANET LONG
Their two biggest customers are Microsoft and Meta. They are pretty bullish on capital spending in general. Capital spending plans on AI seem to be very hot...…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +5340.0% · vs SPY +3324.0%
Benjamin Cowen · 2026-05-23
⚡ Short #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
on average, right? On average, the next few months will likely be weak with a couple of countertrend rallies
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $76,673.37 → Exit $77,000.00 · P/L +2363.0% · vs SPY +0.0% · Target $65,000.00
Gareth Soloway · 2026-01-02
📈 Mid #Gold & Commodities
Hit
MACRO:WTI LONG
It is one of my top plays for the first half of 2026... we saw a 50% upside move in crude oil. That's what I'm projecting out here in the first half of 2026.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +2125.0% · vs SPY +1194.0%
Sven Carlin · 2019-01-05
🌳 Long #Mega-Cap Tech
Hit
AAPL LONG
if you're looking for a good long-term investment that will give you above 10% over the very long term Buy Apple reinvest the dividends and you will do probabl…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $35.18 → Exit $171.01 · P/L +386.1% · vs SPY +290.9%
Meet Kevin · 2026-05-08
📈 Mid #Bonds / Rates
Hit
TLT SHORT
it almost feels like Treasuries are trying to break through on the 10-year, not only this long-term resistance we've had, but if they do, we might be breaking …
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +386.0% · vs SPY +869.0%
ARK Invest · 2022-12-29
🌳 Long #EVs & Autos
Hit
TSLA LONG
you have been buying more Tesla and other stocks during the downturn and and yet the prices have fallen further and our performance decline has worsened ... we…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $121.82 → Exit $459.64 · P/L +277.3% · vs SPY +190.7%
🌳 Long #Macro / FX / Rates
Hit
INDEX:TNX LONG
the 10-year yield will start to move higher. And it doesn't need to move higher by much. Just a little move higher will serve as a leading indicator that the m…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $1.54 → Exit $3.88 · P/L +151.4% · vs SPY +170.0%
Aswath Damodaran · 2022-01-01
🌳 Long #Macro / FX / Rates
Hit
^TNX LONG
t bond rate can increase in fact in the
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $1.51 → Exit $3.79 · P/L +150.9% · vs SPY +169.4%