Pundit Scorecard
Finance YouTubers make bold stock calls. Their horizons expire โ who nailed it? Who blew up? Simulated P/L public.
12Pundits tracked
3136Predictions logged
622Bullseyes
484Misses
๐ The Scoreboard
โก Short <60 days
๐ Mid 60-360 days
๐ณ Long >360 days
๐ก Three time horizons: Short <60d ยท Mid 60-360d ยท Long >360d
๐ฐ Avg P/L = equal-weight blind-follower model โ average return per decided call
๐ธ Spectacular Misses
Sorted by loss magnitude. Up to 3 cards per pundit.
SECTOR:FINANCIALS SHORT
the traditional financial services sector is going to be disrupted mightily during the next five to ten years
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $20.38 โ Exit $51.18 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -219.0%
USO SHORT
Oil, we've been watching this two-month equilibrium. It's breaking bear.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $67.92 โ Exit $138.94 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -131.9%
NVDA SHORT
I just told you my value is 240 dollars per [share] the stock is trading at 410. and I should sell right ... so I split the difference I know it's it's weaseliโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $40.99 โ Exit $144.98 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -142.1% ยท Target $240.00
PL SHORT
Planet Lab. Okay. We're not, ever since President Trump came in, we're not recommending any stocks that are losing money. It's just life's too short... Planet โฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $3.28 โ Exit $34.41 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -131.7%
TSLA SHORT
yeah I would say a the the on my evaluation this thing would go to 20 my was 42 so I'm not a positive than you as even a repair I am I think it's 20 because thโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $15.60 โ Exit $280.52 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -210.0% ยท Target $20.00
WKHS LONG
i think that with workhorse this could be an excellent opportunity and so at these prices workforce is getting into that no-brainer territory
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $52,020.00 โ Exit $1,011.00 ยท P/L -98.1% ยท vs SPY -135.7%
AXS-USD LONG
I'm invested in uh I did invest in AXS, also invested heavily in Matterport
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $131.86 โ Exit $9.04 ยท P/L -93.1% ยท vs SPY -78.9%
MACRO:NATURAL_GAS LONG
natural gas prices will curl back higher again, just like we saw with lumber.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $7.30 โ Exit $2.11 ยท P/L -71.0% ยท vs SPY -66.9%
ETH-USD SHORT
I do think eth will underperform Bitcoin I do think the USD evaluation of eth will likely get hit pretty hard um later on as we get further into the year and bโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $1,871.79 โ Exit $3,012.29 ยท P/L -60.9% ยท vs SPY -72.1%
BTC-USD SHORT
I actually think we come back to at least 30 to 32 once we hit that
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $43,746.45 โ Exit $66,106.80 ยท P/L -51.1% ยท vs SPY -63.7% ยท Target $32,000.00
UAL SHORT
Travels is in real trouble... business travel slowing down, government travel slowing down. There's just a lot of things, a lot of headwinds right now for airlโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $65.60 โ Exit $96.40 ยท P/L -47.0% ยท vs SPY -75.7%
NVDA SHORT
I think Nvidia is a scary stock to be in right now... I came out with a video saying that I think that the AI bubble is about to pop... NVIDIA is at a point noโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $121.35 โ Exit $178.17 ยท P/L -46.8% ยท vs SPY -64.0%
SECTOR:ENERGY SHORT
we think with autonomous electric vehicles that decline is going to accelerate
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $14.58 โ Exit $41.88 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -219.0%
NVDA SHORT
And invid at 56% [overvalued]... Now Stocks at 680 you know part of me says sell everything you've got left but I don't think I want to I want to I think I'll โฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $72.09 โ Exit $190.03 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -141.9%
DLX SHORT
They have an 8% yield. That means that something's very wrong. When you get a yield that's well above all the others, it's not good. I'm going to have to say Xโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $13.60 โ Exit $28.58 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -131.7%
NIO LONG
my price target for neo is about 133 dollars in five years i did lower that slightly because i do think the s-curve just got manipulated a little bit from my eโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $62.70 โ Exit $4.64 ยท P/L -92.6% ยท vs SPY -188.9% ยท Target $133.00
WKHS LONG
numero uno last sunday we talked about workhorse i reiterated my price target to 50... my price target on this one is still 50
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $118,950.00 โ Exit $9,870.00 ยท P/L -91.7% ยท vs SPY -108.7% ยท Target $50.00
BTC-USD SHORT
They're going to drop the hammer and it's going to be ugly, a massive crash in cryptos.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $38,152.98 โ Exit $62,970.05 ยท P/L -65.0% ยท vs SPY -70.7%
BTC-USD SHORT
if Bitcoin were to go down for the second half of the year which is my base case
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $26,608.69 โ Exit $42,265.19 ยท P/L -58.8% ยท vs SPY -65.9%
SMCI SHORT
smci continues to melt down with hourly 12 EMA overhead 4our 12 EMA overhead
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $21.70 โ Exit $34.43 ยท P/L -58.7% ยท vs SPY -59.3%
MACRO:WTI SHORT
I would expect prices to drop again even below 40 when there is again an oil glut which will be volatile
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $49.29 โ Exit $74.29 ยท P/L -50.7% ยท vs SPY -65.9% ยท Target $40.00
RIO SHORT
you can see a long slide for these names it goes on many runs but has not it keeps on having lower low it's generally had lower lows and especially lower highs
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $53.92 โ Exit $78.92 ยท P/L -46.4% ยท vs SPY -67.3%
NVDA SHORT
Nvidia will have difficulty growing year-over-year now it may be slightly above or below what investors are pricing in but we can say definitively with this reโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $125.55 โ Exit $180.14 ยท P/L -43.5% ยท vs SPY -61.2%
^GSPC SHORT
if I'm correct this has a lot more downside to go we're talking about over the next couple years a definitive recession someone something that lasts even multiโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $3,977.53 โ Exit $5,693.31 ยท P/L -43.1% ยท vs SPY -90.1% ยท Target $2,500.00
MACRO:US10Y SHORT
treasuries will they'll certainly stay low and and perhaps rally more maybe even breaking below the 112 we saw a month or so ago
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $1.48 โ Exit $3.65 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -85.7% ยท Target $1.12
AMD SHORT
I think the world of Lisa Sue, but we are going to try to limit, as I said in the club, we are going to try to limit our exposure to what I regard as being um โฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $88.29 โ Exit $278.26 ยท P/L -100.0% ยท vs SPY -135.0%
NVDA NEUTRAL
I've said it 5 days ago I think this is a $600 to $700 stock I personally did not see anything in these earnings that say this is a $1,000 stock... I personallโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $67.43 โ Exit $128.44 ยท P/L -90.5% ยท vs SPY -103.9% ยท Target $700.00
LCID LONG
i am very bullish on lucid long term
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $306.30 โ Exit $33.30 ยท P/L -89.1% ยท vs SPY -126.7%
GOOGL SHORT
Two were mildly overvalued, Google and Netflix, overvalued by less than 10%.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $75.19 โ Exit $137.18 ยท P/L -82.4% ยท vs SPY -116.7%
IONQ SHORT
again, you know, for me, a monthly lower high is the most likely scenario and it was set.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $40.23 โ Exit $61.50 ยท P/L -52.9% ยท vs SPY -56.7%
TSLA SHORT
we do see a correction, a big one... What is the biggest winner among retail traders portfolios Number one is Tesla meaning that it is the biggest cash cow to โฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $235.22 โ Exit $352.26 ยท P/L -49.8% ยท vs SPY -78.5%
SLV SHORT
You should see a pullback by silver sometime in the next few months that's going to take it back below the prior all-time highs
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $46.99 โ Exit $68.14 ยท P/L -45.0% ยท vs SPY -43.5%
FMS LONG
overvalued for a 10 return but for a seven eight percent it is a very interesting return especially banking on the trend
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $29.07 โ Exit $16.95 ยท P/L -41.7% ยท vs SPY -83.9%
UNG LONG
this is the chart of natural gas you guys know that I am now bullish... I continue to be a buyer here
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $23.92 โ Exit $14.31 ยท P/L -40.2% ยท vs SPY -72.8%
CRM LONG
a new addition to the portfolio is Salesforce I just recently bought into this one this year I'm still confident over time that my Salesforce buy will prove toโฆ
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $273.86 โ Exit $165.84 ยท P/L -39.4% ยท vs SPY -85.4%
GCT LONG
I just stay long uh wait for a little bit more sideways price action
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $43.15 โ Exit $26.72 ยท P/L -38.1% ยท vs SPY -40.7%
๐ฏ Spot-On Calls
Sorted by realized gain. Up to 3 per pundit.
TSLA LONG
as I told you yesterday in the news I'm bullish on Tesla but I'm investing in Copper in basic metals that have that have to be the basis of that EV trend electโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $20.86 โ Exit $297.05 ยท P/L +1324.0% ยท vs SPY +1251.3%
PLTR LONG
the fundamentals of palantir have gotten better year over year and 2021 was an excellent year and it's set up to continually do substantially well into 2022 anโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $11.02 โ Exit $124.62 ยท P/L +1030.9% ยท vs SPY +983.7%
MU LONG
Micron is a 10 times earnings. I really wanted six, seven times earnings. Uh that said, Micron is a one-way stock. It has a great year and then a bad year... Yโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $70.87 โ Exit $456.23 ยท P/L +543.8% ยท vs SPY +512.1%
MSTR LONG
why that I mean it's gonna go up because
it has the Bitcoin it has a valuation I
just don't I don't understand it's real
specific thing
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $42.49 โ Exit $235.89 ยท P/L +455.2% ยท vs SPY +416.6%
META LONG
in February 2022 I did value Facebook on my blog ... the value per share that I got was about three forty six dollars February 2022 of course the stock was at โฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $116.17 โ Exit $608.44 ยท P/L +423.8% ยท vs SPY +348.1% ยท Target $346.00
TSLA LONG
you have been buying more Tesla and other stocks during the downturn and and yet the prices have fallen further and our performance decline has worsened ... weโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $121.82 โ Exit $459.64 ยท P/L +277.3% ยท vs SPY +190.7%
SLV LONG
I'm bullish because we're in a monthly uptrend but I put on my bare glasses to ensure that I won't be surprised if things change from here
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $27.91 โ Exit $98.34 ยท P/L +252.3% ยท vs SPY +237.1%
SECTOR:SEMICONDUCTOR LONG
chips will be the next new gold with pricing power for the rest of the decade
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $129.05 โ Exit $346.09 ยท P/L +168.2% ยท vs SPY +88.5%
INDEX:TNX LONG
the 10-year yield will start to move higher. And it doesn't need to move higher by much. Just a little move higher will serve as a leading indicator that the mโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $1.54 โ Exit $3.88 ยท P/L +151.4% ยท vs SPY +170.0%
BTC-USD LONG
the post having year will
be 2025 and that's where long-term
holders tend to sell the most because
that's usually when Bitcoin is hitting
is hitting those all-โฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $35,537.64 โ Exit $87,508.83 ยท P/L +146.2% ยท vs SPY +89.9%
GOOG LONG
simultaneously, while I'm buying Equifax, I'm increasing my stake in Google, buying another $3,000 of this stock
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $148.73 โ Exit $303.93 ยท P/L +104.4% ยท vs SPY +72.2%
BTC-USD SHORT
do we ultimately still
see a sell-off to around the 20 000 to
18 level
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $49,327.72 โ Exit $19,969.77 ยท P/L +59.5% ยท vs SPY +71.7% ยท Target $19,000.00
RKLB LONG
You know what this Rocket Labs initially I have to tell you because I don't like companies that lose a lot of money. I was skeptical, but so many companies neeโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $25.57 โ Exit $124.77 ยท P/L +388.0% ยท vs SPY +362.1%
AAPL LONG
if you're looking for a good long-term investment that will give you above 10% over the very long term Buy Apple reinvest the dividends and you will do probablโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $35.18 โ Exit $171.01 ยท P/L +386.1% ยท vs SPY +290.9%
NVDA LONG
so I'm playing it more toward Nvidia and AMD right but there's gonna be you know Microsoft is is going to benefit I think all the you know Google um I think alโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $25.70 โ Exit $88.41 ยท P/L +244.0% ยท vs SPY +210.5%
META LONG
When I did this only Facebook was significantly undervalued. I bought it there
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $198.48 โ Exit $641.88 ยท P/L +223.4% ยท vs SPY +169.2%
AMD LONG
I still believe in AMD swing trade capabilities... then benefit from the long term elevating factor which is that long-term consistent uptrend
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $32.43 โ Exit $100.83 ยท P/L +210.9% ยท vs SPY +155.3%
RBLX LONG
there's a lot of companies that are going to benefit because of how enabling AI is... Roblox is a company that you may not think benefit from AI... if you can โฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $31.97 โ Exit $82.26 ยท P/L +157.3% ยท vs SPY +145.8%
BTC-USD LONG
we'll break above it at some point I mean I imagine at some point right in 2023 in fact we will likely break above the the this resistance band right at some pโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $17,934.90 โ Exit $42,265.19 ยท P/L +135.7% ยท vs SPY +114.3% ยท Target $19,110.00
SLV LONG
I'm bull silver put on your bear glasses and say okay if the Bears are going to take over
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $29.31 โ Exit $66.37 ยท P/L +126.4% ยท vs SPY +113.1%
TSLA LONG
you potentially have a company that sets itself up for an explosive stock performance once Wall Street gets over this idea of demand concerns
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $113.06 โ Exit $237.49 ยท P/L +110.1% ยท vs SPY +87.7%
NFLX LONG
because of the accelerated Revenue growth the consistent cash flow generation the huge expected net increase in subscribers and AD tier I believe there's a lotโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $46.30 โ Exit $92.56 ยท P/L +99.9% ยท vs SPY +67.9%
XLE LONG
i own all energy i i'm not selling it yet because i know that when supply declines you can have a bull market
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $21.77 โ Exit $31.93 ยท P/L +46.7% ยท vs SPY +57.2%
HACK LONG
I'd rather go with cybersecurity. So think about the ticker HACK, the ETF for cybersecurity versus the IGV. I think you see a lot of strength in hack versus thโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $62.62 โ Exit $79.74 ยท P/L +27.3% ยท vs SPY +16.2%
META LONG
i made this video a while ago how meta facebook the metaverse is a strong buy from a risk and reward perspective how i don't really like it for my core portfolโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $166.88 โ Exit $716.67 ยท P/L +329.4% ยท vs SPY +259.9%
DELL LONG
Dell's AI business is on fire. And the fact it it's able to grow sales and earnings with all the headwinds. Well, that's enough for me to stay bullish in this โฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $110.22 โ Exit $421.08 ยท P/L +282.0% ยท vs SPY +254.0%
PLTR LONG
we made the case for paler to get to $51 by the beginning of 2025
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $25.19 โ Exit $75.19 ยท P/L +198.5% ยท vs SPY +179.7% ยท Target $51.00
NVDA LONG
if it comes out with everything I understand about their gpus I think you have to go after it
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $49.39 โ Exit $136.97 ยท P/L +177.3% ยท vs SPY +150.9%
^TNX LONG
t bond rate can increase in fact in the
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $1.51 โ Exit $3.79 ยท P/L +150.9% ยท vs SPY +169.4%
BTC-USD LONG
each having event has has followed pretty significant increases in in bitcoin's price uh and so tends to be sort of the beginning of a bull market
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $43,989.20 โ Exit $102,078.09 ยท P/L +132.1% ยท vs SPY +103.2%
QBTS LONG
qbts has earnings this coming week but it is trying for the weekly higher low as well so Quantum tightening up
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $5.18 โ Exit $10.80 ยท P/L +108.5% ยท vs SPY +111.1%
ASML LONG
the one that's done the worst is asml that one's down 10% below its 200 day moving average that's why I've entered into this one as a new position then we haveโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $736.73 โ Exit $1,455.75 ยท P/L +97.6% ยท vs SPY +84.6%
QQQ LONG
i wouldn't want to be sitting out the market right now because personally i think that if folks are just reading cnbc headlines and they're not actually lookinโฆ
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $285.14 โ Exit $554.66 ยท P/L +94.5% ยท vs SPY +26.0%
SLV LONG
silver rallying to an all-time high
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $36.93 โ Exit $64.42 ยท P/L +74.4% ยท vs SPY +68.8% ยท Target $50.00
MACRO:SILVER LONG
right now, this is the most likely outcome with an upside target of $61 to $62 per ounce.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $60.17 โ Exit $84.03 ยท P/L +39.7% ยท vs SPY +40.1% ยท Target $61.50
KO LONG
I own the stock, and I expect it to continue to rise higher.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $46.53 โ Exit $57.79 ยท P/L +24.2% ยท vs SPY +15.6%