#Crypto · Pundit Scoreboard · Stock calls

387 calls 224 decided 87 hits 71 partial 66 misses 162 pending

🏆 The Scoreboard

⚡ Short <60 days

📈 Mid 60-360 days

🌳 Long >360 days

💡 Three time horizons: Short <60d · Mid 60-360d · Long >360d
💰 Avg P/L = equal-weight blind-follower model — average return per decided call

💸 Spectacular Misses

Sorted by loss magnitude. Up to 3 cards per pundit.

Benjamin Cowen · 2025-07-24
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
ETH-USD LONG
I think that ETH has bottomed against Bitcoin. So, if I'm right about that, which is a big F, I think it's bottomed for this cycle
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -4983.0% · vs SPY -399.0%
Gareth Soloway · 2026-05-18
📈 Mid #Crypto
Miss
AVAX-USD LONG
the table. It is what it is. That's where it's all at. You guys have a great one. Thank you so much for tuning in. I'll talk to you soon. Take care. >> Mhm.
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -3405.0% · vs SPY -3795.0%
Meet Kevin · 2021-10-25
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
AXS-USD LONG
I'm invested in uh I did invest in AXS, also invested heavily in Matterport
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $131.86 → Exit $9.04 · P/L -93.1% · vs SPY -78.9%
📈 Mid #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD SHORT
They're going to drop the hammer and it's going to be ugly, a massive crash in cryptos.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $38,152.98 → Exit $62,970.05 · P/L -65.0% · vs SPY -70.7%
ZipTrader · 2021-05-05
⚡ Short #Crypto
Miss
DOGE-USD LONG
Well, Elon Musk gives it enough hype in this skit. And if we see some institutional funds start trying to trade off this momentum, you could definitely see thi…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $0.658 → Exit $0.385 · P/L -41.4% · vs SPY -38.9% · Target $1.00
Mad Money · 2025-05-23
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD LONG
I like Bitcoin even up here. I would be a buyer of Bitcoin, but I got Bitcoin.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $107,287.80 → Exit $76,673.37 · P/L -28.5% · vs SPY -58.8%
TheChartGuys · 2025-04-27
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
ETH-USD SHORT
I'm I'm okay with this sell. I still think that Ethereum is showing you so much relative weakness.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $1,792.86 → Exit $2,303.06 · P/L -28.5% · vs SPY -59.8%
ARK Invest · 2025-02-08
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD LONG
we expect uh the Bitcoin to go gold ratio to continue moving up uh as as it has really uh in a trend sense since it began
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $96,482.45 → Exit $70,264.73 · P/L -27.2% · vs SPY -44.0%
Sven Carlin · 2025-02-04
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD LONG
I think that Bitcoin might keep riding the wave because when you rig one thing when you have fake interest rates and money printing then people look for Altern…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $97,871.82 → Exit $73,019.70 · P/L -25.4% · vs SPY -40.8%
Gareth Soloway · 2026-04-25
⚡ Short #Crypto
Miss
ETH-USD LONG
ETH... I wouldn't be surprised if ETH has one more move up, maybe to about 26 to 2800
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2937.0% · vs SPY -880.0%
Meet Kevin · 2024-09-13
📈 Mid #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD SHORT
The only thing I have exposure to is a small short Bitcoin position uh uh but but it's so small it's way offset
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $60,571.30 → Exit $101,459.26 · P/L -67.5% · vs SPY -75.3%
Benjamin Cowen · 2023-08-01
📈 Mid #Crypto
Miss
ETH-USD SHORT
I do think eth will underperform Bitcoin I do think the USD evaluation of eth will likely get hit pretty hard um later on as we get further into the year and b…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $1,871.79 → Exit $3,012.29 · P/L -60.9% · vs SPY -72.1%
ZipTrader · 2025-12-03
📈 Mid #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD LONG
Bitcoin is in a beautiful short-term push back right now, which actually makes it a good dip by
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $93,527.80 → Exit $68,293.65 · P/L -27.0% · vs SPY -26.8%
TheChartGuys · 2025-10-26
⚡ Short #Crypto
Miss
BTC LONG
Bitcoin look pretty good... lots of space for a daily higher low. Anything over 93363.28... key to flipping back into demand $105K affirms key supply
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $50.90 → Exit $40.65 · P/L -20.1% · vs SPY -17.3%
ARK Invest · 2025-04-04
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD LONG
we do think over time Bitcoin will appreciate relative to gold and as you can see, it has not broken uh the uptrend line
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $83,843.80 → Exit $67,290.52 · P/L -19.7% · vs SPY -51.6%
⚡ Short #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD SHORT
to the southern destination and the center of gravity now is 42 000.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $51,093.65 → Exit $57,356.40 · P/L -12.3% · vs SPY -13.5% · Target $42,000.00
Sven Carlin · 2017-11-12
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD SHORT
we can see the appreciation of the Bitcoin similar to what happened to tulips similar to the Mississippi bubble and similar to smaller bubbles like the South S…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $5,950.07 → Exit $6,371.27 · P/L -7.1% · vs SPY -14.5%
Gareth Soloway · 2026-05-05
📈 Mid #Crypto
Miss
XRP-USD LONG
I'm actually starting to lean towards a near-term breakout above $1.50, which could take us as high as $1.80.
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2475.0% · vs SPY -3111.0% · Target $1.80
Benjamin Cowen · 2023-09-15
📈 Mid #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD SHORT
if Bitcoin were to go down for the second half of the year which is my base case
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $26,608.69 → Exit $42,265.19 · P/L -58.8% · vs SPY -65.9%
ARK Invest · 2025-05-03
🌳 Long #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD LONG
we think uh that this uh trend line will continue to move up if we're right that we're moving back into a riskon environment
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $95,891.80 → Exit $78,538.23 · P/L -18.1% · vs SPY -46.2%
TheChartGuys · 2025-10-05
⚡ Short #Crypto
Miss
ETH LONG
I would say anything over 3825 even is going to be good for that daily higher low
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $44.53 → Exit $37.51 · P/L -15.8% · vs SPY -14.8%
⚡ Short #Crypto
Miss
BTC-USD SHORT
i am looking for the next level of support of 42 000. that will be a big decline for bitcoin
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $51,762.27 → Exit $56,396.52 · P/L -9.0% · vs SPY -10.6% · Target $42,000.00

🎯 Spot-On Calls

Sorted by realized gain. Up to 3 per pundit.

Benjamin Cowen · 2025-12-30
📈 Mid #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
I think the most likely outcome is a lower high whenever the rally happens.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +3378.0% · vs SPY +0.0%
TheChartGuys · 2026-05-23
📈 Mid #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
long time bitcoin so bitcoin does not look very good here so it looks like a potential weekly bear flag right very weak weekly bounce here higher low higher hi…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +931.0% · vs SPY +985.0%
IBD Live · 2023-10-24
🌳 Long #Crypto
Hit
MSTR LONG
why that I mean it's gonna go up because it has the Bitcoin it has a valuation I just don't I don't understand it's real specific thing
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $42.49 → Exit $235.89 · P/L +455.2% · vs SPY +416.6%
ARK Invest · 2024-01-06
🌳 Long #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD LONG
each having event has has followed pretty significant increases in in bitcoin's price uh and so tends to be sort of the beginning of a bull market
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $43,989.20 → Exit $102,078.09 · P/L +132.1% · vs SPY +103.2%
ZipTrader · 2024-02-14
📈 Mid #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD LONG
if history is any indication she'll make a new all-time high this year
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $51,826.70 → Exit $93,429.20 · P/L +80.3% · vs SPY +61.2% · Target $69,044.00
Gareth Soloway · 2021-09-02
🌳 Long #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
do we ultimately still see a sell-off to around the 20 000 to 18 level
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $49,327.72 → Exit $19,969.77 · P/L +59.5% · vs SPY +71.7% · Target $19,000.00
Benjamin Cowen · 2025-11-23
📈 Mid #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
65,000 is probably where that 200-week moving average is going to be by mid-next year, if I had to guess.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +3254.0% · vs SPY +0.0% · Target $65,000.00
IBD Live · 2023-10-24
🌳 Long #Crypto
Hit
COIN LONG
this I actually bought yesterday
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $82.07 → Exit $209.16 · P/L +154.9% · vs SPY +116.3%
ARK Invest · 2023-12-09
🌳 Long #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD LONG
Bitcoin have an an especially an especially Good Year and I think it's because uh in March we learned the Bitcoin is not just a risk on asset it is a risk off …
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $43,725.98 → Exit $97,432.72 · P/L +122.8% · vs SPY +89.7%
TheChartGuys · 2024-11-01
⚡ Short #Crypto
Hit
MSTR LONG
Bulls are now just riding the Daily 12 EMA so as long as Daily 12 EMA continues to hold then the weekly move remains strong
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $229.71 → Exit $421.88 · P/L +83.7% · vs SPY +79.4%
Gareth Soloway · 2026-01-06
⚡ Short #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
the bigger macro pattern, which is something I'm very concerned about over the next month or two, starts to play out to the downside.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $93,729.03 → Exit $68,136.49 · P/L +27.3% · vs SPY +30.1%
Benjamin Cowen · 2026-05-23
⚡ Short #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
on average, right? On average, the next few months will likely be weak with a couple of countertrend rallies
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $76,673.37 → Exit $77,000.00 · P/L +2363.0% · vs SPY +0.0% · Target $65,000.00
ARK Invest · 2024-01-04
🌳 Long #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD LONG
so I think that you know most things are geared structurally positive toward Bitcoin in the next two years I think probably liquidity is going to be higher and…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $44,179.92 → Exit $91,413.49 · P/L +106.9% · vs SPY +56.1%
TheChartGuys · 2024-10-29
⚡ Short #Crypto
Hit
BTC LONG
we have a squeeze fire bullishly which we have two Aqua histograms now so it's fired bullish we typically have six to eight bars of follow follow through and c…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $32.20 → Exit $47.30 · P/L +46.9% · vs SPY +43.0%
Gareth Soloway · 2026-01-28
⚡ Short #Crypto
Hit
BTC-USD SHORT
essentially what we'd be looking for is something in the range of 74,000 to about 67,000.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $89,184.57 → Exit $66,991.97 · P/L +24.9% · vs SPY +25.4% · Target $67,000.00
IBD Live · 2024-11-06
⚡ Short #Crypto
Hit
IBIT LONG
I I did add some tqqq and some upro um ibit I know crypto definitely uh a topic of discussion here too so uh I I am bullish here and uh taking an aggressive st…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $43.40 → Exit $53.72 · P/L +23.8% · vs SPY +23.9%

🔮 Pending Verdicts

Bold calls whose horizon hasn't expired yet. Bullseye or miss?

Benjamin Cowen · 2025-12-05
📈 Mid #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD SHORT
you could have a scenario where Bitcoin does something like this and it kind of drops down to 60 to 70K by the summer
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-31 · 1 days remaining
ARK Invest · 2023-09-07
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD LONG
wow you could have a parabolic move in the price of Bitcoin uh and and I think that will happen I mean we're on in record saying that
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-09-07 · 8 days remaining
TheChartGuys · 2025-10-19
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD SHORT
Bitcoin. This is bad. You know, like this doesn't look good at all.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-19 · 50 days remaining
Gareth Soloway · 2026-05-04
📈 Mid #Crypto
Pending
ETH-USD SHORT
If not, it's honestly going back to the 67 level. Now, going back to ETH, the nice thing about ETH is it's far away from its line. So, it's got a little maneuv…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-04 · 66 days remaining
Mad Money · 2025-12-29
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD LONG
put half your money in a cheap index fund and then put the other half in a portfolio of five individual stocks and one nonstock hedge like gold or bitcoin.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-29 · 121 days remaining
Sven Carlin · 2026-05-27
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD LONG
in a way, I am long Bitcoin. I hope that there is no financial destruction that it goes to a million, but I wouldn't mind seeing it going higher. I wouldn't mi…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2029-05-27 · 1001 days remaining
Benjamin Cowen · 2025-12-14
📈 Mid #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD SHORT
the next step is likely going to that 200-week moving average, my guess, sometime before the summer is over, the summer of 2026.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-31 · 1 days remaining
ARK Invest · 2025-09-26
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
COIN LONG
there's probably heavy overlap with Coinbase and traditional big banks in the US and those customers... maybe I should hold more assets over here because they'…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-09-26 · 27 days remaining
TheChartGuys · 2025-11-09
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD SHORT
I wouldn't be surprised if we're looking to for some bigger picture balance here, which would then kind of open up uh 74K,
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-09 · 71 days remaining
Gareth Soloway · 2025-12-16
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD LONG
gold, silver, metals, Bitcoin, maybe while those are maybe overbought near term, they likely are going higher.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-16 · 108 days remaining
Mad Money · 2026-05-01
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
MSTR SHORT
You want to own Bitcoin, buy Bitcoin [not MSTR/Strategy]. There will be plenty of proitizing when we hear from strategy.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-05-01 · 244 days remaining
Benjamin Cowen · 2026-05-23
📈 Mid #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD SHORT
What I would say is to expect a macro lower high by Bitcoin um sometime in the first quarter of this year that will then lend itself to a slightly lower low by…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-31 · 1 days remaining
ARK Invest · 2025-09-26
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
COIN LONG
I think it's a compelling product offering... a real change in kind of at least their willingness to provide services that are directly competitive with banks …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-09-26 · 27 days remaining
Gareth Soloway · 2025-12-18
🌳 Long #Crypto
Pending
BTC-USD SHORT
Ultimately, this is now a leading indicator for what the stock market is likely going to do. All right. So, again, Bitcoin is a good leading indicator... the t…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-18 · 110 days remaining