#Market Indexes · Pundit Scoreboard · Stock calls
333 calls
268 decided
58 hits
165 partial
45 misses
65 pending
🏆 The Scoreboard
⚡ Short <60 days
📈 Mid 60-360 days
🌳 Long >360 days
💡 Three time horizons: Short <60d · Mid 60-360d · Long >360d
💰 Avg P/L = equal-weight blind-follower model — average return per decided call
💸 Spectacular Misses
Sorted by loss magnitude. Up to 3 cards per pundit.
SPY SHORT
uh similar to like this guy, right? Let him punch it and then we can look for the back test against the low of the range. So, that'd be like the low of this gu…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1762.0% · vs SPY -1493.0%
SPY SHORT
the
S&P will likely get a rally back up to
the bull market support band, and
that'll take a month or two, and then
it'll then get rejected and go down
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1401.0% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY SHORT
We are going into a regime where risk assets likely continue to go down. Leverage or debt becomes toxic and ironically bonds end up start end up starting to ac…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1271.0% · vs SPY -31.0%
^GSPC SHORT
looking at potentially by the end of the first half of this year, 2026, the S&P is likely to have at least a 20% correction.
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -865.0% · vs SPY +66.0%
EWY SHORT
like Tesla might reverse a little bit more. If we segue to the unusual activities, we have the EWY. This is the South Korean ETF, and right now trading about $…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -747.0% · vs SPY -359.0%
^GSPC SHORT
balanced effect the value that i get for the index is about 2926 i don't want to create false precision here but my valuation with my story is about 2900 to 29…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $3,066.59 → Exit $4,246.59 · P/L -38.5% · vs SPY -78.9% · Target $2,926.00
INDEX:NDX SHORT
we actually think that they'll underperform they've done a lot of work in the last few years especially because cash-rich companies so were so richly rewarded …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $18,440.85 → Exit $22,763.31 · P/L -23.4% · vs SPY -41.6%
SPY SHORT
when all those people start getting out windows inflows that have pushed the market so high over the last eight nine years turn to the negative then it will be…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $232.39 → Exit $263.25 · P/L -13.3% · vs SPY -26.6%
IWM LONG
after years of underperformance, small caps are set to seriously outperform in 2025
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $221.63 → Exit $245.72 · P/L +10.9% · vs SPY -5.0%
GME LONG
day on Wednesday, the sector's down 2%, but then it recovers and closes at the high. But, then on Thursday, the sector's down 2.7% before recovering to the hig…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1675.0% · vs SPY -2041.0%
SPX SHORT
Microsoft was flatish going into the open, it started to sell off just before the open, and is down over 5%. Okay. Amazon was up. Look at this, right into mass…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -832.0% · vs SPY -353.0%
SPY SHORT
i take my expected cash flows with these projections discount them back to today and i get a value slightly higher than 3100 the market was trading at 32.70 on…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $336.10 → Exit $439.40 · P/L -30.7% · vs SPY -61.5%
SPY SHORT
the market has a lot of declining to do in 2021 and beyond.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $348.06 → Exit $448.05 · P/L -28.7% · vs SPY -57.5%
SPY SHORT
okay so you heard it from Jamie dimon 20 to 30 percent more downside is what you need to be prepared for and even though JP Morgan reported earnings this morni…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $341.27 → Exit $418.25 · P/L -22.6% · vs SPY -45.1%
SPY SHORT
due to the high valuations we can really see a big big drop somewhere in the next six months
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $232.54 → Exit $260.13 · P/L -11.9% · vs SPY -23.7%
IWM LONG
if you look at what happened after those concentrated periods uh we moved into a bull market that broadened out so that's our bet that's our bet
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $231.40 → Exit $235.58 · P/L +1.8% · vs SPY -12.1%
QQQ SHORT
trade discussion with the peace deal peace negotiations kind of you know not getting anywhere over the weekend. Uh I would imagine that this you you will proba…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -1601.0% · vs SPY -1331.0%
^GSPC SHORT
the top on this market is about 2.7% more upside... I'm going to be shorting with every last thing I get right at that high
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -428.0% · vs SPY +167.0%
QQQ SHORT
growth stocks will completely crash due to the rise of the 10 years treasury yield
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $302.26 → Exit $370.08 · P/L -22.4% · vs SPY -47.8%
SPY SHORT
volatility has a extremely high likelihood of skyrocketing over the next 6 weeks and frankly I think the upside risk to stocks is very very very low ... my tak…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $551.24 → Exit $596.11 · P/L -8.1% · vs SPY -16.3%
SPY LONG
very recently you've seen the S&P going up and the gold price going down uh if that continues this this um chart will resolve to the upside uh and that is our …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $597.11 → Exit $679.76 · P/L +13.8% · vs SPY +0.0%
🎯 Spot-On Calls
Sorted by realized gain. Up to 3 per pundit.
PLTR LONG
know, stop out break even, stop out tiny loss on a hedge attempt, that's fine, but uh just be cautious to not overdo it. So, those are all the things. Now, let…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +4395.0% · vs SPY +4126.0%
INDEX:NDX LONG
here's your range from essentially right here at 2,700 down to 2,100... This is your buy zone. And again, very clean, very beautiful parallel... here's your zo…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +3190.0% · vs SPY +1374.0%
SPY LONG
we think we think it will resolve on the upside here, not on the downside
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +2451.0% · vs SPY -533.0%
QQQ LONG
this actually potentially suggests there's more room to go to the upside. And this dip that we're seeing right now in futures is probably just going to wash aw…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +2053.0% · vs SPY +711.0%
ORCL SHORT
The devil top is the real deal. And speaking of the devil, we have Oracle, ORCL, now trading about 180. The trader here went way out of the money. 130 puts, th…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +1863.0% · vs SPY +2738.0%
SPY LONG
let me show
you three reasons why the stock market
will not crash and might even double or
triple in the next 5-10 years
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $232.30 → Exit $395.30 · P/L +70.2% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY LONG
so it should increase growth it should be good for the stock market
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $549.83 → Exit $656.69 · P/L +19.4% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY LONG
i don't believe that overall the market's going to keep going down forever i think that maybe we have a couple more weeks of some storminess and then you see s…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $362.67 → Exit $391.96 · P/L +8.1% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY SHORT
we often see a correction in August or September by the S P 500 a five to ten percent correction
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $441.33 → Exit $414.35 · P/L +6.1% · vs SPY +12.2%
RGTI SHORT
Stick to your stop losses. These are extremely volatile names that will top out and pull back significantly eventually, but not yet. So what we've been seeing …
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +3367.0% · vs SPY +3636.0%
SPY LONG
This is where I would expect a bounce. Now, by the way, is this the low on the market? Are we going to go into a bull market? Heck no... you're going to see a …
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +1817.0% · vs SPY +0.0%
QQQ LONG
i wouldn't want to be sitting out the market right now because personally i think that if folks are just reading cnbc headlines and they're not actually lookin…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $285.14 → Exit $554.66 · P/L +94.5% · vs SPY +26.0%
SPY LONG
I will expect the long-term return from stocks of 4%
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $232.54 → Exit $368.67 · P/L +58.5% · vs SPY +0.0%
^GSPC SHORT
Why the everything bubble will come down crashing in 2022.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $4,793.06 → Exit $3,839.50 · P/L +19.9% · vs SPY +38.5%
SPY LONG
the Market's even stronger than I think it is
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $586.39 → Exit $679.51 · P/L +15.9% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY LONG
I think this is going to be a golden moment for equities I I think it's going to be better than the 80s and 90s
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $586.68 → Exit $668.24 · P/L +13.9% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY LONG
right now I have SPXS and SQQQ as my hedges, I exit half of them. And then I will look to add them back, maybe on a weekly lower high eventually, or if I want …
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +2762.0% · vs SPY +2493.0%
SPY LONG
Any sort of bounce we get on the straights being opened, it's going to be massive. It's going to be one of those rip-your-face-off where the shorts just get cl…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +1725.0% · vs SPY +39.0%
QQQ LONG
personally I'm taking the dollar cost average into stocks approach that's because I believe anytime the NASDAQ is hitting between 280 and about 320. the Market…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $289.21 → Exit $371.20 · P/L +28.4% · vs SPY +12.4%
SPY LONG
we're in a bull market 1999 Playbook is
still in effect
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $592.19 → Exit $683.68 · P/L +15.4% · vs SPY +0.0%
^VIX LONG
expecting the VIX to rise all the way to the highs of the year in the next few weeks
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $17.29 → Exit $19.66 · P/L +13.7% · vs SPY +13.0%
QQQ LONG
it's a challenge to overcome but one that I think we we will overcome but one that I think we we will uh that we we will see happen in the near future
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $421.88 → Exit $465.10 · P/L +10.2% · vs SPY +0.7%
🔮 Pending Verdicts
Bold calls whose horizon hasn't expired yet. Bullseye or miss?
QQQ SHORT
stock market's at 735. I'm like, guys, I'm worried. We're going to not only test 715 on the Qs, but we're probably going down to 685 by next week, mid next wee…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-26 (expired 4 days ago — pending manual price check)
SPY SHORT
this is kind of a red flag, I think, for the overall market, too.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-19 · 50 days remaining
DJI SHORT
I would certainly argue there's a a higher chance that the Dow has a 20% correction before ever setting its sights on 100,000
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-31 · 62 days remaining
SPY LONG
President Trump is going to... views the stock market as his benchmark, right? He's going to do everything in his power to improve the stock market. When the s…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-03 · 65 days remaining
SPY LONG
In summary, I think the next six months from now until November will be one of the most extreme periods for the economy, the stock market, and dollar devaluati…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-03 · 65 days remaining
TSN LONG
Tyson 食品的股价表现也相当不错，今年迄今为止上涨了15% ... 泰森股价自 2022 年以来首次突破 200 周移动平均线。这是一个看涨突破
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-12 · 74 days remaining
SPY LONG
this market now at 58 will be around 70 70 something trillion in the next 12 months. Therefore, it will be up 20% all else equal. No crashes, no nothing. The s…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-10 · 102 days remaining
SPY LONG
Uh look, I'm a big in favor of the S&P 500 as an index fund. I think that'll be terrific.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-23 · 115 days remaining
SPY SHORT
Signals continue to point to a stock market major top in place and likely a bare market in 2026.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
SPY LONG
What's going to be key for me is XLF. XLF a daily higher low is the most likely scenario, anything above 5042. Bulls need to set this daily higher low next wee…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-25 · 56 days remaining
SPY LONG
This means what? It means meltup coming.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-03 · 95 days remaining
SPY LONG
I do believe the same appetite for you know stocks exist. It's just that it's not available. So once we the same way that tokenized dollars have exploded to $3…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-18 · 110 days remaining
SPY SHORT
the wall of worry so the stock market right now is is still following the s&p m2 fractal by the way as crazy as that sounds and actually in february that was o…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
SPY SHORT
the stock market as it probably has a bigger correction in 2026 at some point, 20% or greater.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
QQQ LONG
I'm actually bullish towards the end of the year.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
SPY LONG
if we add the buybacks, that's almost another of plus one trillion. And if we look at the inelastic market hypothesis... 62 going to 72 likely over the next 12…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-05-27 · 270 days remaining
VTI LONG
I want it to be in the total stock market return fund of Vanguard." And that's what I did. ... Over the long term, you'll get a little bit better performance, …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2028-12-05 · 828 days remaining
SPY LONG
I know I'm I'm personally leaning more towards the idea that buyers will likely look to step in and play defense.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-09 · 71 days remaining
^GSPC LONG
the meltup that I'm the most excited about is the stock market... valuations can get even more, far more stretched before they actually correct. That's exactly…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-03 · 95 days remaining
SPY LONG
I do believe that in the near future companies will still IPO into markets... the same way that you have today like a five or 10% allocation for the retail cro…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-18 · 110 days remaining
SPY SHORT
I think that the high is either in or we sweep the high and then we drop. Like I think one of those two outcomes is the most likely
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
SPY SHORT
this market is going down. I'm still convinced we will be down 20% from the all-time highs at some point this year.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
SPY SHORT
ten-year returns will probably be negative
VS Reality
Horizon: 2028-03-30 · 578 days remaining
SPY LONG
you should still direct a big chunk of your savings, if not the plurality of it, into some cheap S&P 500 index fund. It's the safest way to give yourself equit…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2028-12-05 · 828 days remaining