#Market Indexes · Pundit Scoreboard · Stock calls
337 calls
238 decided
48 hits
159 partial
31 misses
97 pending
🏆 The Scoreboard
⚡ Short <60 days
📈 Mid 60-360 days
🌳 Long >360 days
💡 Three time horizons: Short <60d · Mid 60-360d · Long >360d
💰 Avg P/L = equal-weight blind-follower model — average return per decided call
💸 Spectacular Misses
Sorted by loss magnitude. Up to 3 cards per pundit.
^GSPC SHORT
if I'm correct this has a lot more downside to go we're talking about over the next couple years a definitive recession someone something that lasts even multi…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $3,977.53 → Exit $5,693.31 · P/L -43.1% · vs SPY -90.1% · Target $2,500.00
^GSPC SHORT
balanced effect the value that i get for the index is about 2926 i don't want to create false precision here but my valuation with my story is about 2900 to 29…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $3,066.59 → Exit $4,246.59 · P/L -38.5% · vs SPY -78.9% · Target $2,926.00
SPY SHORT
the market has a lot of declining to do in 2021 and beyond.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $348.06 → Exit $448.05 · P/L -28.7% · vs SPY -57.5%
INDEX:NDX SHORT
we actually think that they'll underperform they've done a lot of work in the last few years especially because cash-rich companies so were so richly rewarded …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $18,440.85 → Exit $22,763.31 · P/L -23.4% · vs SPY -41.6%
SPY SHORT
okay so you heard it from Jamie dimon 20 to 30 percent more downside is what you need to be prepared for and even though JP Morgan reported earnings this morni…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $341.27 → Exit $418.25 · P/L -22.6% · vs SPY -45.1%
SPY SHORT
when all those people start getting out windows inflows that have pushed the market so high over the last eight nine years turn to the negative then it will be…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $232.39 → Exit $263.25 · P/L -13.3% · vs SPY -26.6%
SPY SHORT
I believe a blowoff top is
coming in the broader Market
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $585.03 → Exit $655.30 · P/L -12.0% · vs SPY -24.0%
IWM LONG
after years of underperformance, small caps are set to seriously outperform in 2025
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $221.63 → Exit $245.72 · P/L +10.9% · vs SPY -5.0%
SPY SHORT
i take my expected cash flows with these projections discount them back to today and i get a value slightly higher than 3100 the market was trading at 32.70 on…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $336.10 → Exit $439.40 · P/L -30.7% · vs SPY -61.5%
QQQ SHORT
I'm in the camp folks I think this high is in and I think the markets are as elevated as we have seen them since the dot era
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $510.11 → Exit $615.48 · P/L -20.7% · vs SPY -38.5%
SPY SHORT
due to the high valuations we can really see a big big drop somewhere in the next six months
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $232.54 → Exit $260.13 · P/L -11.9% · vs SPY -23.7%
SPY SHORT
with the rest of the market going its last hurrah and going crazy to the upside and becoming due for a correction
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $286.70 → Exit $312.43 · P/L -9.0% · vs SPY -18.0%
SPY LONG
spy at new all-time highs; rotation game intact
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $602.75 → Exit $552.56 · P/L -8.3% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY SHORT
volatility has a extremely high likelihood of skyrocketing over the next 6 weeks and frankly I think the upside risk to stocks is very very very low ... my tak…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $551.24 → Exit $596.11 · P/L -8.1% · vs SPY -16.3%
IWM LONG
if you look at what happened after those concentrated periods uh we moved into a bull market that broadened out so that's our bet that's our bet
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $231.40 → Exit $235.58 · P/L +1.8% · vs SPY -12.1%
IWM SHORT
there is still a little bit more upside in the Russell but you're starting to get close to resistance I think it's around $ 1889
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $179.24 → Exit $195.32 · P/L -9.0% · vs SPY -13.4%
SPY SHORT
I'm a 2.9 on the bare bull scale and honestly it kind of starting to lean down not up I know it sucks to be a bear when markets are going up but and I mean las…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $549.07 → Exit $591.36 · P/L -7.7% · vs SPY -15.4%
QQQ LONG
we'll be looking for the monthly to set a higher low anything above 422 again we can drop 15% before we get there and we're going to watch for a monthly high o…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $504.00 → Exit $466.66 · P/L -7.4% · vs SPY -4.1% · Target $422.00
SPY LONG
very recently you've seen the S&P going up and the gold price going down uh if that continues this this um chart will resolve to the upside uh and that is our …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $597.11 → Exit $679.76 · P/L +13.8% · vs SPY +0.0%
🎯 Spot-On Calls
Sorted by realized gain. Up to 3 per pundit.
QQQ LONG
i wouldn't want to be sitting out the market right now because personally i think that if folks are just reading cnbc headlines and they're not actually lookin…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $285.14 → Exit $554.66 · P/L +94.5% · vs SPY +26.0%
SPY LONG
let me show
you three reasons why the stock market
will not crash and might even double or
triple in the next 5-10 years
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $232.30 → Exit $395.30 · P/L +70.2% · vs SPY +0.0%
IWM LONG
So, I really would not be surprised if these buyers were to look to rotate to the highs uh roughly to the highs of this range all the way up to to 22 or so.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $192.86 → Exit $277.14 · P/L +43.7% · vs SPY +12.4% · Target $222.00
^GSPC SHORT
Why the everything bubble will come down crashing in 2022.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $4,793.06 → Exit $3,839.50 · P/L +19.9% · vs SPY +38.5%
SPY LONG
so it should increase growth it should be good for the stock market
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $549.83 → Exit $656.69 · P/L +19.4% · vs SPY +0.0%
INDEX:NDX LONG
I actually think we could rally back to about 23,000 on the Nasdaq, which would be another four 500 points to the upside.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $24,701.60 → Exit $28,994.37 · P/L +17.4% · vs SPY +8.9% · Target $23,000.00
SPY LONG
I think this is going to be a golden moment for equities I I think it's going to be better than the 80s and 90s
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $586.68 → Exit $668.24 · P/L +13.9% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY LONG
i don't believe that overall the market's going to keep going down forever i think that maybe we have a couple more weeks of some storminess and then you see s…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $362.67 → Exit $391.96 · P/L +8.1% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY SHORT
we often see a correction in August or September by the S P 500 a five to ten percent correction
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $441.33 → Exit $414.35 · P/L +6.1% · vs SPY +12.2%
SPY LONG
I will expect the long-term return from stocks of 4%
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $232.54 → Exit $368.67 · P/L +58.5% · vs SPY +0.0%
SPY LONG
I'm starting to be less concerned with hedges and whatnot, like and and I'm starting to feel less concerned with sells in general. Um, like bigger picture for …
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $544.61 → Exit $715.17 · P/L +31.3% · vs SPY +0.0%
QQQ LONG
personally I'm taking the dollar cost average into stocks approach that's because I believe anytime the NASDAQ is hitting between 280 and about 320. the Market…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $289.21 → Exit $371.20 · P/L +28.4% · vs SPY +12.4%
SPY LONG
the Market's even stronger than I think it is
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $586.39 → Exit $679.51 · P/L +15.9% · vs SPY +0.0%
^VIX LONG
expecting the VIX to rise all the way to the highs of the year in the next few weeks
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $17.29 → Exit $19.66 · P/L +13.7% · vs SPY +13.0%
SPY SHORT
the next bear market has to be the worst in my lifetime because the debt is so much higher
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $388.80 → Exit $347.70 · P/L +10.6% · vs SPY +21.1%
QQQ LONG
it's a challenge to overcome but one that I think we we will overcome but one that I think we we will uh that we we will see happen in the near future
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $421.88 → Exit $465.10 · P/L +10.2% · vs SPY +0.7%
SPY LONG
my point is I would rather be positioned to benefit from it by being a little long some of these uh uh uh treasury bonds and not only being long some of the tr…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $429.75 → Exit $551.24 · P/L +28.3% · vs SPY +0.0%
DIA LONG
All right, so these buyers should be trying to make their way back up to test the uh daily low local supply and the low of which is over here at 407.25.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $395.90 → Exit $491.56 · P/L +24.2% · vs SPY -7.2% · Target $407.25
SPY LONG
we're in a bull market 1999 Playbook is
still in effect
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $592.19 → Exit $683.68 · P/L +15.4% · vs SPY +0.0%
^GSPC LONG
Your max upside on the bounce here is going to be into this level here around 6,800
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $6,575.32 → Exit $7,230.12 · P/L +10.0% · vs SPY -0.0%
🔮 Pending Verdicts
Bold calls whose horizon hasn't expired yet. Bullseye or miss?
SPY LONG
we think we think it will resolve on the upside here, not on the downside
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-07 · 3 days remaining
SPY LONG
Any sort of bounce we get on the straights being opened, it's going to be massive. It's going to be one of those rip-your-face-off where the shorts just get cl…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-29 · 25 days remaining
QQQ LONG
this actually potentially suggests there's more room to go to the upside. And this dip that we're seeing right now in futures is probably just going to wash aw…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-07-07 · 33 days remaining
EWY SHORT
like Tesla might reverse a little bit more. If we segue to the unusual activities, we have the EWY. This is the South Korean ETF, and right now trading about $…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-07-21 · 47 days remaining
SPY SHORT
the
S&P will likely get a rally back up to
the bull market support band, and
that'll take a month or two, and then
it'll then get rejected and go down
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-01 · 58 days remaining
GME LONG
day on Wednesday, the sector's down 2%, but then it recovers and closes at the high. But, then on Thursday, the sector's down 2.7% before recovering to the hig…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-02 · 59 days remaining
SPY LONG
In summary, I think the next six months from now until November will be one of the most extreme periods for the economy, the stock market, and dollar devaluati…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-03 · 152 days remaining
SPY LONG
this market now at 58 will be around 70 70 something trillion in the next 12 months. Therefore, it will be up 20% all else equal. No crashes, no nothing. The s…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-10 · 189 days remaining
SPY LONG
Uh look, I'm a big in favor of the S&P 500 as an index fund. I think that'll be terrific.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-23 · 202 days remaining
^GSPC SHORT
looking at potentially by the end of the first half of this year, 2026, the S&P is likely to have at least a 20% correction.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-30 · 26 days remaining
SPX SHORT
至少在近期内，7000 是一个比较稳妥的假设。 ... 回撤位将非常接近 7,000
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-04 · 61 days remaining
SPY SHORT
We are going into a regime where risk assets likely continue to go down. Leverage or debt becomes toxic and ironically bonds end up start end up starting to ac…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-04 · 61 days remaining
SPY SHORT
uh similar to like this guy, right? Let him punch it and then we can look for the back test against the low of the range. So, that'd be like the low of this gu…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-23 · 80 days remaining
DJI SHORT
I would certainly argue there's a a higher chance that the Dow has a 20% correction before ever setting its sights on 100,000
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-31 · 149 days remaining
SPY LONG
President Trump is going to... views the stock market as his benchmark, right? He's going to do everything in his power to improve the stock market. When the s…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-03 · 152 days remaining
^GSPC LONG
the meltup that I'm the most excited about is the stock market... valuations can get even more, far more stretched before they actually correct. That's exactly…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-03 · 182 days remaining
SPX UP (NEAR-TERM) THEN DOWN (LONG-TERM)
S&P 500 capitalization of 62 trillion add 10 to 15 trillion up that's 72 trillion 16 20% up next 12 months and this is as we discussed in this video I said 8,6…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 210 days remaining
SPY LONG
you should still direct a big chunk of your savings, if not the plurality of it, into some cheap S&P 500 index fund. It's the safest way to give yourself equit…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2028-12-05 · 915 days remaining
^GSPC SHORT
Where is my ultimate first half target on the S&P? ... This is your target here, right around 6,100.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-30 · 26 days remaining
ORCL SHORT
The devil top is the real deal. And speaking of the devil, we have Oracle, ORCL, now trading about 180. The trader here went way out of the money. 130 puts, th…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-21 · 78 days remaining
RGTI SHORT
Stick to your stop losses. These are extremely volatile names that will top out and pull back significantly eventually, but not yet. So what we've been seeing …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-23 · 80 days remaining
SPY LONG
This means what? It means meltup coming.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-03 · 182 days remaining
SPY LONG
I do believe the same appetite for you know stocks exist. It's just that it's not available. So once we the same way that tokenized dollars have exploded to $3…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-18 · 197 days remaining
SPY SHORT
the wall of worry so the stock market right now is is still following the s&p m2 fractal by the way as crazy as that sounds and actually in february that was o…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 210 days remaining
SPY LONG
if we add the buybacks, that's almost another of plus one trillion. And if we look at the inelastic market hypothesis... 62 going to 72 likely over the next 12…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-05-27 · 357 days remaining
VTI LONG
I want it to be in the total stock market return fund of Vanguard." And that's what I did. ... Over the long term, you'll get a little bit better performance, …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2028-12-05 · 915 days remaining