#AI & Chips · Pundit Scoreboard · Stock calls
291 calls
185 decided
94 hits
44 partial
47 misses
106 pending
🏆 The Scoreboard
⚡ Short <60 days
📈 Mid 60-360 days
🌳 Long >360 days
💡 Three time horizons: Short <60d · Mid 60-360d · Long >360d
💰 Avg P/L = equal-weight blind-follower model — average return per decided call
💸 Spectacular Misses
Sorted by loss magnitude. Up to 3 cards per pundit.
MU SHORT
SanDisk? SanDisk nasty fall. Look at this. It's below 1300. It was up to 1,600 just a few week few days ago. Now what about a draw down on this? What if we do …
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -38583.0% · vs SPY -38080.0%
SOXX SHORT
你会看到急剧的回调。今天只是个小小的预告,但你会看到这些股票一天之内下跌 10% 到 20%。 所以做好准备吧
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -10245.0% · vs SPY -9780.0%
PLTR LONG
This has been a stellar performer... it does feel like they're getting contracts. It does feel like they are a winner in all of this... Palantir is really cash…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2023.0% · vs SPY -4039.0%
CRWV LONG
Number four, CoreWeave (CRWV). Still well below highs, but I believe June will be a strong month... NVDA reports earnings 3 days from now on May 20 — CRWV will…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -408.0% · vs SPY -510.0%
NVDA SHORT
I just told you my value is 240 dollars per [share] the stock is trading at 410. and I should sell right ... so I split the difference I know it's it's weaseli…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $40.99 → Exit $144.98 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -142.1% · Target $240.00
AMD SHORT
I think the world of Lisa Sue, but we are going to try to limit, as I said in the club, we are going to try to limit our exposure to what I regard as being um …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $88.29 → Exit $278.26 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -135.0%
SMCI SHORT
smci continues to melt down with hourly 12 EMA overhead 4our 12 EMA overhead
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $21.70 → Exit $34.43 · P/L -58.7% · vs SPY -59.3%
NVDA SHORT
I do think it's going to sell down in the near term uh along with probably some of the other overblown chip sectors spe specifically the super micro computers …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $88.41 → Exit $135.51 · P/L -53.3% · vs SPY -60.2%
NVDA SHORT
I think Nvidia is a scary stock to be in right now... I came out with a video saying that I think that the AI bubble is about to pop... NVIDIA is at a point no…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $121.35 → Exit $178.17 · P/L -46.8% · vs SPY -64.0%
INTC LONG
we have an intrinsic value of 313 billion compared to the market capitalization of 232 billion we can say that intel is undervalued
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $51.22 → Exit $48.24 · P/L -5.8% · vs SPY -38.2%
MRVL SHORT
betting on. I think there is technical confirmation or support to that thesis. Next, we have Marvell. And right now, the stock is trading at $150. That's being…
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2220.0% · vs SPY -1831.0%
NVDA SHORT
And invid at 56% [overvalued]... Now Stocks at 680 you know part of me says sell everything you've got left but I don't think I want to I want to I think I'll …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $72.09 → Exit $190.03 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -141.9%
NVDA SHORT
I think the White House cares more about cutting off China than it does about advancing our own interests. And that's made Nvidia a very hard stock to own... l…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $96.89 → Exit $199.88 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -138.6%
PLTR LONG
I finally made the judgment call to set this at a 55 price target... I see this going to 55 and that's my official price target
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $36.05 → Exit $13.15 · P/L -63.5% · vs SPY -80.5% · Target $55.00
NVDA SHORT
Nvidia will have difficulty growing year-over-year now it may be slightly above or below what investors are pricing in but we can say definitively with this re…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $125.55 → Exit $180.14 · P/L -43.5% · vs SPY -61.2%
NVDA SHORT
I would not be surprised if the sellers were to take some time to rotate all the way back down to these lows again
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $137.44 → Exit $188.21 · P/L -36.9% · vs SPY -55.2%
ASML LONG
I like TSM uh and asml don't don't count out asml making your Advanced lithography machines don't count these guys out ... they've got nearly a monopoly on this
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $923.39 → Exit $723.19 · P/L -21.7% · vs SPY -32.1%
SOXX SHORT
I think the semiconductors are dead short right now
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $142.67 → Exit $158.46 · P/L -11.1% · vs SPY -21.7%
INTC LONG
Intel is risky especially as everyone is waiting for it to Boom only from 2025 nobody wants it so it looks ugly and value investors have to buy at some point y…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $25.81 → Exit $34.48 · P/L +33.6% · vs SPY -53.1%
NVDA SHORT
For all intents and purposes, Nvidia may be done with China... Apple's got some sort of stay of execution to move out of China. I no longer trust or believe th…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $104.47 → Exit $198.35 · P/L -89.9% · vs SPY -124.9%
AI LONG
I believe that the stock is on a path to doubling in the next year... I believe that C3AI can hit well past 50 bucks by this March 21st expiration
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $36.93 → Exit $13.90 · P/L -62.4% · vs SPY -79.2% · Target $50.00
SMH SHORT
I'm scouting a monthly
lower
high as the most likely scenario
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $242.79 → Exit $325.12 · P/L -33.9% · vs SPY -45.9%
MU LONG
So watch out for Micron. ... continue to watch this chart for bullish breakout.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $78.86 → Exit $63.03 · P/L -20.1% · vs SPY -15.4%
NVDA SHORT
basically this is showing you it failed the breakout... I would guess you're headed back to the scene of the crime right here
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $132.71 → Exit $146.70 · P/L -10.5% · vs SPY -14.9% · Target $130.00
AI SHORT
I think it is a company that is going to perform very poorly and have actually always been pretty anti-c3 AI I I think that mostly you have institutional inves…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $28.10 → Exit $30.68 · P/L -9.2% · vs SPY -25.9%
🎯 Spot-On Calls
Sorted by realized gain. Up to 3 per pundit.
PLTR LONG
I wouldn't go so far as to say $500 anytime soon, but $100 in the coming years, certainly a high possibility in my opinion.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +82260.0% · vs SPY +74969.0% · Target $100.00
MU LONG
I've always liked AMD, as you know, Micron had a good quarter last time. I think it could go higher.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +74554.0% · vs SPY +72264.0%
AMD LONG
It's not just that AMD's chips are seen maybe as competitive, but also other companies want to make sure they're not just reliant on Nvidia... next year is sup…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +17732.0% · vs SPY +15716.0%
MU LONG
know, sometimes I'll grab a a bearish position and then stop out when the bulls prove that they're keeping their control, but for the most part, I'm looking lo…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +9014.0% · vs SPY +8591.0%
NVDA SHORT
here is essentially a zone here. I want to show you this. This is kind of an interesting little uh zone. Uh let me see if I remember this trendline. I think it…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +1076.0% · vs SPY +1364.0%
ASML LONG
the one that's done the worst is asml that one's down 10% below its 200 day moving average that's why I've entered into this one as a new position then we have…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $736.73 → Exit $1,455.75 · P/L +97.6% · vs SPY +84.6%
SMCI SHORT
I personally would touch super micro computer because there'll be a lot of companies doing this I don't think they have the IP I think Nvidia has the IP
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $100.07 → Exit $43.69 · P/L +56.3% · vs SPY +46.5%
INTC LONG
conclusion from a risk reward perspective it's likely that intel will deliver a double-digit investing return over time
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $28.01 → Exit $30.57 · P/L +9.1% · vs SPY -68.0%
NVDA SHORT
when I valued inedia in February I came up with remember value 440 the stock was trading at 800 and I knew I would be asked the question could Nvidia be worth …
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $85.95 → Exit $112.17 · P/L -30.5% · vs SPY -38.4% · Target $440.00
DELL LONG
let's say you like HP Enterprise. Let me just tell you something. You will love Dell, which is a far superior option at this moment.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +28018.0% · vs SPY +25314.0%
AMAT LONG
applied materials, AAT. For whatever reason, a lot of people overlook this stock, but we've been talking about it a lot and it's still screaming buy
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +19288.0% · vs SPY +17156.0%
ALAB LONG
Really strong growth. Really strong growth. It's the latest new America... this is a hot stock. Everything seems to be going very well with this company.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +13740.0% · vs SPY +11724.0%
NVDA LONG
you know I I think pretty much any
pullback on NVDA in the foreseeable
future is is a buy in my opinion. It's
just a matter of picking your location.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +1863.0% · vs SPY +39.0%
ASML LONG
I still believe the company right now is a great risk and reward and that's why during my trade this morning I sold $5,000 out of apple and bought $5,000 of as…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $729.75 → Exit $1,418.03 · P/L +94.3% · vs SPY +78.0%
SMCI SHORT
I believe the level if I remember correctly is right around 500 maybe just above 500 that should be a major Target of smci
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $90.53 → Exit $62.38 · P/L +31.1% · vs SPY +28.1% · Target $500.00
TSM LONG
I like TSM uh and asml don't don't count out asml making your Advanced lithography machines don't count these guys out they make the chip they make the machine…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $133.11 → Exit $171.01 · P/L +28.5% · vs SPY +18.0%
MRVL LONG
Marll's excellent company and they want a lot of business for some of the hyperscalers I don't know that's crazy Matt Murphy is doing a remarkable job the stoc…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +27142.0% · vs SPY +25047.0%
AVGO LONG
I think AVGO is set to print and looks like a long-term winner
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +5369.0% · vs SPY +3101.0%
MU LONG
I'm looking for multiple years where we don't see a new all time high. And if that's going to happen in a blow off top fashion, we have to have everything doin…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +1764.0% · vs SPY +1280.0%
NVDA LONG
so I'm playing it more toward Nvidia and AMD right but there's gonna be you know Microsoft is is going to benefit I think all the you know Google um I think al…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $25.70 → Exit $88.41 · P/L +244.0% · vs SPY +210.5%
AMAT LONG
I believe the company like asml is a great buy today the stock has traded down from $254 now trading at around $170
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $169.53 → Exit $300.43 · P/L +77.2% · vs SPY +56.2%
MU LONG
where is the big buy level... I have a level here at a pierce of 85 that'll be a level right here this is a pivot low Zone
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $86.66 → Exit $101.68 · P/L +17.3% · vs SPY +20.3% · Target $85.00
SMCI SHORT
I know super micro is only on 1.74 Peg but I don't trust that company not because of the accounting issues but because their margins are so low and then they k…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $41.97 → Exit $34.72 · P/L +17.3% · vs SPY +17.4%
🔮 Pending Verdicts
Bold calls whose horizon hasn't expired yet. Bullseye or miss?
AVGO LONG
Well, it was a nice bounce off the 50-day line. Look, if it weren't for earnings coming up, that would have been actionable... existing holders from any decent…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-29 (expired 1 days ago — pending manual price check)
AMD LONG
AMD, Nvidia, a lot of these companies have ridiculously cheap valuations. They can absolutely grow into these valuations a lot. Uh AMD could definitely get to …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-03 · 34 days remaining
SMH SHORT
we should be at the verge of a major cycle top... I am going heavily short on the semis as of today... we should tag, and it's right around 437 to 438
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-07 · 38 days remaining
PLTR LONG
I think Palantir is going higher.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-03 · 95 days remaining
NVDA LONG
it's safe to say that you think 2026 the mismatch of supply and demand for chips blows out even further. >> Yes.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
MRVL LONG
Marvel is another pick and shovels play in the AI infrastructure space and I would argue it's a must buy heading into 2026
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
MU SHORT
but uh just be aware that we
will pull back 30 to 40%.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-01-10 · 133 days remaining
INTC LONG
if you want to watch it over the next few years I think now it is the best time ever to start a position
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-08-04 · 339 days remaining
ASML LONG
I just bought $10,000 of a brand new holding in my portfolio. The company's in the tech category and it's the big machine maker from the Netherlands ASML
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-12-31 · 488 days remaining
TSM LONG
it's not it wouldn't shock anybody if this
not it wouldn't shock anybody if this
not it wouldn't shock anybody if this
continues to go up, uh, cuz that AI
cont…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-10 · 41 days remaining
SOXX SHORT
the Nasdaq trading up on the back of Intel earnings. Look at this move on Intel... Intel it was a $333 billion company going into this earnings report. It is n…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-21 · 52 days remaining
NVDA LONG
Nvidia, I've got a $320 price target now. That's up from $300 on Nvidia. And Nvidia is actually the probably the cheapest right now of uh the um the chip stock…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-02 · 64 days remaining
NVDA LONG
You want to own this stock, not trade it
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-04 · 96 days remaining
NVDA LONG
in chip space I think that the wherever the choke point is will suddenly become very expensive... energy was the choke point of the year and probably will be t…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
SMCI LONG
Super micro computer SMCI... If they execute even reasonably on the guidance they've given, multiple expansion alone could double the stock. I think it's going…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 123 days remaining
NVDA SHORT
we will see nvda
3-month consolidation it will pull back
40% plus from its all-time high it will
set up 3mon high or low at some point
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-11-22 · 449 days remaining
ASML LONG
when I'm looking at my hardware play, the company that I want to invest in that's the gatekeeper of the AI revolution, I continue to pick ASML over Nvidia.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2028-12-01 · 824 days remaining
ASML LONG
the thing is that in five to 10 years it's unlikely the stock will be below 900. However, it can be much higher on the upside there.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2030-11-22 · 1545 days remaining
NVDA LONG
Nvidia stock I personally think has a fair valuation at $300 per share, yet Nvidia is stuck just under $200 and actually sold off 9% over the last week.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-06 · 68 days remaining
SMH SHORT
Right? So if we take a look here guys and we go to some others. How about SanDisk? SanDisk nasty fall. Look at this. It's below 1300. It was up to 1,600 just a…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-15 · 77 days remaining
DELL SHORT
there's just real concerns that there's a bit of a squeeze and out of favor. So, yeah, it needs to repair. It needs to, it probably needs to set up again.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-21 · 83 days remaining
PLTR LONG
The ultimate high-f flyier that's up huge that you can buy it right now
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-10 · 102 days remaining
PLTR LONG
Number three, Palanteer. The tier of the Palen PLTR. What do they do? ... why do I believe it's going to do well? But while they're already the company for def…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-01-14 · 137 days remaining
NVDA LONG
there are a lot of reasons to believe that China is well positioned for this emergent trend. Um Absent the fact that they don't have access to the most cutting…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-02-25 · 179 days remaining
NVDA LONG
semiconductors bearish NVDA I mean at this point again investing swing trading or day trading if you're investing being down 40% from the all-time high. Okay, …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2028-04-05 · 584 days remaining
ASML LONG
This is a company that I believe will continue to compound above 15% over the next five years. I think that you could safely buy it under $1,000 and expect pos…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2030-10-13 · 1505 days remaining