#Mega-Cap Tech · Pundit Scoreboard · Stock calls
292 calls
147 decided
63 hits
38 partial
46 misses
145 pending
🏆 The Scoreboard
⚡ Short <60 days
📈 Mid 60-360 days
🌳 Long >360 days
💡 Three time horizons: Short <60d · Mid 60-360d · Long >360d
💰 Avg P/L = equal-weight blind-follower model — average return per decided call
💸 Spectacular Misses
Sorted by loss magnitude. Up to 3 cards per pundit.
GOOGL SHORT
Alphabet, and I'm not sure how the core Google business can be doing if people are still are starting to use ChatBT, Grock, Claude, and even Alphabet's own Gem…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $150.64 → Exit $341.68 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -136.4%
GOOGL SHORT
Two were mildly overvalued, Google and Netflix, overvalued by less than 10%.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $75.19 → Exit $137.18 · P/L -82.4% · vs SPY -116.7%
AAPL SHORT
We're now starting new bearish momentum... we could go down to the next support which in my chart is 127.22.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $129.28 → Exit $180.78 · P/L -39.8% · vs SPY -58.2% · Target $127.22
NFLX LONG
This stock is going to have a great Q4... I'm looking forward to their next earnings report.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $109.13 → Exit $83.49 · P/L -23.5% · vs SPY -25.5%
AMZN SHORT
we're going to do a bear call spread so again we're looking for a move to the downside
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $92.13 → Exit $106.96 · P/L -16.1% · vs SPY -20.1%
META LONG
they're on a 10 billion revenue run rate for Gen AI video creation tied to their advertising platform... they actually really did nail AI... folding it into th…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $668.42 → Exit $572.13 · P/L -14.4% · vs SPY -9.4%
ORCL LONG
the odds are it's going to be a very good report... do I think it's going to be a positive and maybe go up five or 10%. I think that could happen here on the b…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $221.65 → Exit $196.28 · P/L -11.4% · vs SPY -12.1%
AMZN LONG
so amazon growing 10 50 from an investment perspective is likely
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $159.77 → Exit $147.03 · P/L -8.0% · vs SPY -38.8%
NFLX LONG
entered in the upper 93s and I will exit if 90 breaks... my initial target will be weekly EMA 12... risking we'll call it $4 and initial target is will be... r…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $94.47 → Exit $88.00 · P/L -6.8% · vs SPY -7.0%
MSFT SHORT
Two were significantly overvalued, Amazon and Microsoft.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $199.87 → Exit $282.73 · P/L -41.5% · vs SPY -75.7%
AAPL SHORT
Apple and Nvidia had to be parted with because I couldn't see a path to avoid big declines... Apple's caught in the crosshairs. As I see it, this administratio…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $192.14 → Exit $265.93 · P/L -38.4% · vs SPY -77.0%
META SHORT
meta is going to continue to be weaker... Third revisit will be a charm to break below that support.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $448.92 → Exit $597.41 · P/L -33.1% · vs SPY -44.7%
NFLX LONG
I currently hold Netflix in my story fund the gains on it are around $56,000 and it's now moved up to my largest position I continue to hold every share as I s…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $98.49 → Exit $86.12 · P/L -12.6% · vs SPY -26.9%
UBER LONG
There's a long consolidation that it could be sort of getting out of getting above 82... if you bought at 77.58, you want to keep on going so you get a good en…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $84.28 → Exit $75.12 · P/L -10.9% · vs SPY -39.5%
ORCL LONG
we should get some sort of rebound in this chart. Maybe back to about 220. That's a great gain. $40 gain
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $178.93 → Exit $164.01 · P/L -8.3% · vs SPY -10.9% · Target $220.00
AAPL SHORT
Apple is extremely risky for a very low reward
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $227.34 → Exit $244.58 · P/L -7.6% · vs SPY -22.3%
AAPL LONG
odds favor with the size of this bounce that we would get a daily higher low
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $248.83 → Exit $231.80 · P/L -6.8% · vs SPY -6.2%
META OUTPERFORM
I think meta uh from what we we've heard is in a really good place in terms of having access to the infrastructure for these kinds of problems
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $490.18 → Exit $531.49 · P/L +0.0% · vs SPY -9.5%
AMZN LONG
i said google and amazon looked a little overvalued i'm not ready to buy them yet with this crisis that changed and i did buy google and amazon the very limit …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $147.37 → Exit $96.20 · P/L -34.7% · vs SPY -27.5%
NFLX LONG
But don't let it get away from you because it is I would tell you this Netflix, this may be still the best growing stock in the entire market.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $121.90 → Exit $83.33 · P/L -31.6% · vs SPY -61.3%
AAPL SHORT
I do believe that Apple will reverse lower. And therefore, the risk versus reward says buy puts. And this is exactly what I did today, specifically expecting A…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $131.21 → Exit $163.86 · P/L -24.9% · vs SPY -33.5% · Target $131.00
AMZN LONG
I think Amazon is a buy today I continue to hold my full position... for Amazon I think it's closer to 260 I think all of these companies should be meaningfull…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $229.15 → Exit $210.32 · P/L -8.2% · vs SPY -24.5% · Target $260.00
AAPL SHORT
my downside Target is 18271
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $205.71 → Exit $222.04 · P/L -7.9% · vs SPY -9.8% · Target $182.71
GOOGL LONG
it's going through you know should be going through the high of that handle um tomorrow if it's normal um and with that then it should start a trend up
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $180.58 → Exit $168.15 · P/L -6.9% · vs SPY -7.5%
NFLX LONG
I'm watching for this stairst step to
break and I'm watching for a weekly
bounce in Netflix.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $82.20 → Exit $76.87 · P/L -6.5% · vs SPY -5.2%
META OUTPERFORM
I do think that they have the most cohesive strategy within Ai and the distribution to implement it... with llama 3 their implementation of it across Instagram…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $490.18 → Exit $531.49 · P/L +0.0% · vs SPY -9.5%
🎯 Spot-On Calls
Sorted by realized gain. Up to 3 per pundit.
META LONG
in February 2022 I did value Facebook on my blog ... the value per share that I got was about three forty six dollars February 2022 of course the stock was at …
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $116.17 → Exit $608.44 · P/L +423.8% · vs SPY +348.1% · Target $346.00
AAPL LONG
if you're looking for a good long-term investment that will give you above 10% over the very long term Buy Apple reinvest the dividends and you will do probabl…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $35.18 → Exit $171.01 · P/L +386.1% · vs SPY +290.9%
GOOG LONG
simultaneously, while I'm buying Equifax, I'm increasing my stake in Google, buying another $3,000 of this stock
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $148.73 → Exit $303.93 · P/L +104.4% · vs SPY +72.2%
MSFT LONG
you could probably treat this as an early entry it's a long-term leader you could argue that this is a good place to enter a long-term leader anyway
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $156.65 → Exit $284.24 · P/L +81.4% · vs SPY +19.7%
AAPL LONG
Tim Cook will have the best. They'll have the best AI. Cook's Northtore is client satisfaction and over time that strategy is a proven winner.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $199.42 → Exit $310.85 · P/L +55.9% · vs SPY +27.5%
UBER LONG
uber and Lyft they could end up benefiting from this because it's more so the longtail of ride hailing services... if you have just an agent looking at what co…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $63.60 → Exit $87.75 · P/L +38.0% · vs SPY +26.5%
NFLX LONG
we're going to watch to see if Netflix break the weekly stair step that has been intact for 3 6 9 11 weeks. Close at the high of the week. Trying to get that w…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $78.67 → Exit $97.70 · P/L +24.2% · vs SPY +25.5%
UBER LONG
If you're in those, I would lock in profits over the coming weeks and roll them into Uber calls dating out to say August $75 to $80 calls.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $78.63 → Exit $92.81 · P/L +18.0% · vs SPY +11.5% · Target $80.00
AMZN LONG
I'm pretty long Amazon right now pretty excited about them
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $199.29 → Exit $223.47 · P/L +12.1% · vs SPY -1.0%
GOOGL SHORT
And soon enough, I would say that Google will begin to join Microsoft and Meta and slow down too. These guys are going to get punished by investors
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $168.94 → Exit $159.24 · P/L +5.7% · vs SPY +1.5%
MSFT SHORT
ultimately my target is 455 to 400 bucks
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $442.82 → Exit $418.33 · P/L +5.5% · vs SPY +2.6% · Target $400.00
META LONG
i made this video a while ago how meta facebook the metaverse is a strong buy from a risk and reward perspective how i don't really like it for my core portfol…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $166.88 → Exit $716.67 · P/L +329.4% · vs SPY +259.9%
META LONG
When I did this only Facebook was significantly undervalued. I bought it there
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $198.48 → Exit $641.88 · P/L +223.4% · vs SPY +169.2%
NFLX LONG
because of the accelerated Revenue growth the consistent cash flow generation the huge expected net increase in subscribers and AD tier I believe there's a lot…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $46.30 → Exit $92.56 · P/L +99.9% · vs SPY +67.9%
AMZN LONG
Good numbers like Amazon that I think will get terrific as the year goes on, which is why I say you buy Amazon
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $189.98 → Exit $268.26 · P/L +41.2% · vs SPY +12.6%
META LONG
what they're doing for the Creator space is you the only way to think about it is there's probably never been another time in human history to have some level …
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $570.06 → Exit $725.84 · P/L +27.3% · vs SPY +8.3%
AAPL LONG
it may be reasonable to assume that apple stock could move five percent to six percent higher over the next month
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $150.03 → Exit $168.38 · P/L +12.2% · vs SPY +5.3% · Target $155.00
ORCL SHORT
you get that sort of pain happening in the tech and AI sector it ain't good it's that capex spending dries up you're going to have layoffs it's going to be pai…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $159.10 → Exit $145.67 · P/L +8.4% · vs SPY +9.7%
NFLX SHORT
Netflix,
you know, we're looking for a daily
lower high here as the most likely
scenario.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $122.70 → Exit $115.33 · P/L +6.0% · vs SPY +5.2%
AMZN SHORT
this thing favors the downside and if I was going to have have a downside Target probably about 175 at least initially
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $189.08 → Exit $182.55 · P/L +3.5% · vs SPY +1.6% · Target $175.00
GOOG LONG
I always tell people Google is a much better buy here than it was here at 150
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $88.51 → Exit $328.91 · P/L +271.6% · vs SPY +186.7%
GOOGL LONG
when I look at Google over the next 3 to 6 months, I could see a lot change. The reason I believe that Google could move up quickly in the short term is becaus…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $176.22 → Exit $328.34 · P/L +86.3% · vs SPY +74.5%
AMZN LONG
I bought Amazon two, you know, two weeks ago it was at when I bought it it was $3,000 per share, it dropped to 2,700, but I have faith. Now, of course, 10 for …
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $110.81 → Exit $205.17 · P/L +85.2% · vs SPY +31.0%
AMZN LONG
Amazon also reminded us why it's one of the world's best companies. Why you can't bet against it. Sales grew 9% year-over-year, topped expectations by over $60…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $190.20 → Exit $268.26 · P/L +41.0% · vs SPY +10.5%
META LONG
investors and everyone else following this story now is okay with the capex spend because they're able to justify it right you're seeing the AI Suite of produc…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $570.06 → Exit $725.84 · P/L +27.3% · vs SPY +8.3%
NFLX LONG
this one's setting up. This one is one of the best looking stocks out there... it's one of the top performers right now
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $91.83 → Exit $103.01 · P/L +12.2% · vs SPY -16.5%
META LONG
meta we're holding the daily 50 ma looking for that daily elusive daily higher low compared to 580
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $583.17 → Exit $615.42 · P/L +5.5% · vs SPY +5.1%
AAPL LONG
ultimately I would not be surprised if at least it Wicks up into that level before starting to pull back
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $190.17 → Exit $192.65 · P/L +1.3% · vs SPY -2.1% · Target $200.00
🔮 Pending Verdicts
Bold calls whose horizon hasn't expired yet. Bullseye or miss?
ORCL LONG
Oracle's gigantic data center buildout should start paying off soon. I think that they can show some very good revenue growth this quarter.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-06 · 2 days remaining
MSFT LONG
Microsoft this morning was at $395 and we called for Microsoft as a buy the dip and an easy opportunity to see it cross well into 400, possibly towards 420. Ob…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-15 · 11 days remaining
META LONG
you're seeing them spend very aggressively, but I think the opportunity this time makes significantly more sense... investors maybe seeing uh signs of uh you k…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-07-16 · 42 days remaining
GOOGL LONG
I believe Google's headed towards a stock price of $240 per share. We'll see how it goes from the current price to that number in this episode.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-07-24 · 50 days remaining
MSFT LONG
It's definitely improved... rebounded a little bit like Nvidia which had gone sideways for quite a while. Microsoft went sideways came back and now has roared …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-07-25 · 51 days remaining
AAPL LONG
but I actually expect this one to go up. I also think that that Apple is no longer like the big driver of the stock market, right? It's not really an AI play. …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-13 · 70 days remaining
AAPL LONG
that rotation perfect bull rotation is still in play. The financial sector had a solid move up on earnings. Speaking of which, we got a bunch of earnings comin…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-23 · 80 days remaining
MSFT LONG (MILD)
Yes, you can make 50% on the cycle if it just reverts to the mean, boom. That's 50% in the next 6 months. Relief rally from peace globally... But, in case of r…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-09-30 · 118 days remaining
MSFT LONG
Microsoft MSFT. Microsoft is the cheapest MAG7 stock by PE ratio right now... the fact that it's down on that makes it all the more more juicy of a position to…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-02-20 · 261 days remaining
ORCL SHORT
I would not be surprised to see it as a 60 dollar stock at some point
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-05-21 · 351 days remaining
NFLX LONG
they are going to be the the entertainment channel, so to speak, for the world. It's worth 542 billion. That makes sense to me... I am not going to tell you to…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-25 · 21 days remaining
GOOGL LONG
if you look at that open router data it's the cheaper models and the more efficient models that are really seeing the most usage. So when these reasoning model…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-07-16 · 42 days remaining
GOOGL LONG
a an existential like beyond belief move. I mean, look at SanDisk today. Look at SanDisk. I mean, number one, it's into major resistance. But I mean, this thin…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-13 · 70 days remaining
META SHORT
but I was also trading some meta and some Netflix on this bounce as well. And the next bit of information that I need to see is, prove it bears, prove that thi…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-23 · 80 days remaining
ORCL LONG
Something that watch with Oracle is I have to give them a big green flag on momentum and valuation. They right now are trading for a 0.79 PEG. They are uh fina…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-09-13 · 101 days remaining
GOOGL LONG
I believe that Google is about $100 undervalued today. So if you can buy this company below $340, I think it's a buy.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-13 · 131 days remaining
NFLX LONG
Earnings growth is expected to slow down a little bit but still be really strong... revenue growth is supposed to pick up slightly. It's still just doing reall…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-17 · 135 days remaining
GOOGL LONG
all else equal Google is 250 in 2026 ... 2020 at 22 and the p ratio of 30 we are at 300 by 2026 which is a really good return from now
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 210 days remaining
META LONG
Meta forward P/E from 26x in October to 20x today. Discount entirely driven by US-Iran-conflict uncertainty. Conflict will either resolve or coexist. Window cl…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-04-25 · 325 days remaining
AAPL UNDERPERFORM
How many other companies? I mean, you have Google that could say it. Amazon if they wanted to start playing in this space, which doesn't seem like we're hearin…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-07-16 · 42 days remaining
GOOGL LONG
谷歌股价在创下历史新高后，还有很大的上涨空间，有望形成更高的月度低点
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-23 · 80 days remaining
AMZN LONG
Amazon is a buy today and it's a company that I believe will continue to be a buy under $300 per share.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-13 · 131 days remaining
NFLX LONG
bought Netflix, you know, a few days back and wow, Netflix was rebounded really nicely after killing that Warner Brothers deal. Netflix, I think, is now going …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-17 · 135 days remaining
AAPL LONG
I bought it after the 30 minute uh restriction period, but it came up above that 259.24
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-20 · 138 days remaining
GOOGL LONG
But as long as I think these proven winners can stay strong and deliver, I'll stick with them. That said, look, I'm confident there are many, many more amazing…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-29 · 208 days remaining
ORCL LONG
I think you bounce probably back here. I mean, makes sense back to 185.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-02-24 · 265 days remaining
AMZN LONG
Amazon forward P/E from 38x in October to 27x today. Long-term DCA into the Iran-discount window.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-04-25 · 325 days remaining
META LONG
the intrinsic value now is 340. compare that to the stock price it should double it should be an easy double in a year and return back to the previous levels a…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-05-22 · 352 days remaining