#Consumer / Retail · Pundit Scoreboard · Stock calls
106 calls
67 decided
27 hits
15 partial
25 misses
39 pending
🏆 The Scoreboard
⚡ Short <60 days
📈 Mid 60-360 days
🌳 Long >360 days
💡 Three time horizons: Short <60d · Mid 60-360d · Long >360d
💰 Avg P/L = equal-weight blind-follower model — average return per decided call
💸 Spectacular Misses
Sorted by loss magnitude. Up to 3 cards per pundit.
CMG LONG
this one's been just treading water because maybe they raised prices too much, but I think Chipotle's making a comeback. I want to be a buyer.
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -4597.0% · vs SPY -7302.0%
HD SHORT
their costs have exploded so much I don't think they can make any money here in the in the near term
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $262.38 → Exit $364.98 · P/L -39.1% · vs SPY -72.3%
COST SHORT
I believe Costco is over $100 over its intrinsic value... I believe the intrinsic value is $560... Costco trades at $680 per share I believe the intrinsic valu…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $674.78 → Exit $935.66 · P/L -38.7% · vs SPY -66.8% · Target $560.00
CAVA LONG
or we did it with Kava as well on Swing Trader And I do have a position in that as well So that more of a classic way but I think it looks really good right he…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $95.76 → Exit $68.93 · P/L -28.0% · vs SPY -48.1%
SBUX SHORT
Starbucks is the four-month chart so Bounce from Co lows higher low lower high higher low we're scouting a lower high... we've got if we confirm the weekly dow…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $88.69 → Exit $94.78 · P/L -6.9% · vs SPY -4.4%
BROS LONG
The stock's up on a real spike was up really big yesterday. It's a very hot stock. I would suggest buying it down 5% but boy do I like it.
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -2397.0% · vs SPY -4833.0%
CMG LONG
I noticed that both of my top positions year-to date are food companies Chipotle and Texas Roadhouse which does not surprise me I've made a bet over the last c…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $53.43 → Exit $37.22 · P/L -30.3% · vs SPY -69.2%
EBAY LONG
there's a lot to like about this chart, and I would argue that this is actually giving you kind of an early entry rather than wait for 1015. Um it feels like t…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $94.73 → Exit $81.98 · P/L -13.5% · vs SPY -15.3%
DG LONG
I got to tell you, I don't think I'd touch Dollar Tree down here and I still want to buy I would still buy Dollar General.
VS Reality
Miss: P/L -550.0% · vs SPY -3254.0%
BKNG LONG
Booking Holdings remains far more resilient than people give it credit for. The company is still undervalued according to the metrics. It trades at a PE ratio …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $202.42 → Exit $168.36 · P/L -16.8% · vs SPY -47.9%
🎯 Spot-On Calls
Sorted by realized gain. Up to 3 per pundit.
BKNG LONG
booking Holdings is a new position in my portfolio I've been buying into this one building up the position I bought more of it during the dip currently it's a …
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +6439.0% · vs SPY +1530.0%
WMT LONG
I think it gets to 110.
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +2299.0% · vs SPY -12.0% · Target $110.00
ANF SHORT
ANF this is a weekly equilibrium the context is this three-month chart has gone straight up to the tune of thousands of percent so I'm watching for potential t…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $153.24 → Exit $78.77 · P/L +48.6% · vs SPY +52.4%
SBUX LONG
I would split Verizon, 3M, Starbucks, and maybe even Apple and then reinvest the dividends according to which one is that. If you put a gun to my head, I would…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $65.71 → Exit $91.89 · P/L +39.8% · vs SPY -28.4%
CMG SHORT
I can see in uh Chipotle coming back down to retest this scene of the crime
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $64.21 → Exit $57.23 · P/L +10.9% · vs SPY +6.2% · Target $60.50
BKNG LONG
if we look at the valuation of booking the reason that I'm going into this stock right now is it trades at a relatively low valuation compared to the overall M…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +1714.0% · vs SPY -1735.0%
DG LONG
Dollar General only has one real competitor left. They both have tremendous opportunities to take market share and you know what, maybe even raise prices. No w…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $86.67 → Exit $121.56 · P/L +40.3% · vs SPY +8.6%
ANF SHORT
weekly time frame I've already made a bearish entry here... anything above 13381 is a higher low and I'll stop out if we make this bull break... we know that v…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $153.24 → Exit $108.91 · P/L +28.9% · vs SPY +25.7%
TXRH LONG
Texas Roadhouse is bouncing around $170 per share this company not only has appreciated a lot this year it's up 41%... I continue to hold this one because I th…
VS Reality
Bullseye: P/L +462.0% · vs SPY -3349.0%
RL LONG
Ralph Lauren looking really good after that quarter. The the sellers were wrong yesterday. They they knew nothing and the buyers who sent the stock back up wer…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $270.91 → Exit $377.78 · P/L +39.4% · vs SPY +9.2%
PEP LONG
I grabbed PEP at 137 Thursday morning... I'm just going to let it play out... if we set a monthly higher low and head up to 150
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $138.67 → Exit $163.48 · P/L +17.9% · vs SPY +18.6%
🔮 Pending Verdicts
Bold calls whose horizon hasn't expired yet. Bullseye or miss?
WMT LONG
Walmart reports. All right, let me tell you something. I am convinced that Walmart's among the greatest companies of our era... I expect terrific numbers.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-31 · 1 days remaining
CMG LONG
I recently just purchased another $22,000 of Chipotle... I firmly believe the future will be more automated than the past that's typically what happens over ti…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-09 · 40 days remaining
EBAY LONG
I would argue that this is actually giving you kind of an early entry rather than wait for 1015.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-20 · 51 days remaining
EBAY LONG
eBay and after hours is up about 13% uh 162 call it divided by 117 means we still have about 38% upside on eBay stock even though it's already been moving up.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-12 · 74 days remaining
PEP LONG
And if we set a monthly higher low and
head up to 150, it'll be a more
meaningful trade.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-01-10 · 133 days remaining
SBUX LONG
given that the company continues to grow I see it that it's ready for a new jump... Starbucks 75 after the pop
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-05-27 · 270 days remaining
TGT LONG
Wednesday, we have Target in the morning. I think it's going to repeat its terrific performance from three months ago. New management is trying so far successf…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-08-31 · 1 days remaining
WMT SHORT
I want to point out here at Walmart, in my opinion, this is a stock to avoid. I'm going to show you. This is a company that is deploying massive free cash to c…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-23 · 85 days remaining
CMG LONG
I bought it around $1800 per share right now it's a $33,000 position with 9,000 in gains... the main reasons I bought this company and why I believe it will ha…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-02-07 · 161 days remaining
WMT LONG
Walmart trading slightly below the 132.46 cup-with-handle buy point... above that buy point that's where you can act. Walmart is clearly distinct from other re…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-05-15 · 258 days remaining
NKE LONG
I think Nike will find its way to growth from 2025 2026 2027 like Adidas did
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-07-17 · 321 days remaining
HD LONG
it's going to be why you can buy a stock like Home Depot.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-10 · 102 days remaining
ABNB LONG
I believe these are both compounding machines... so this is another one [Airbnb] that I think is a very interesting company that'll likely do very well in the …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-04-10 · 223 days remaining
HD SHORT
Home Depot... there's no thesis to buy. We can see this downtrend. Big-ticket and housing-related stuff, it's an intersection of retail and housing, frankly bo…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-05-15 · 258 days remaining
NKE LONG
I don't think you will lose money with Nike long term if you buy now you will get that yield earnings BuyBacks will make earnings grow
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-07-17 · 321 days remaining