INTC SHORT prediction · garethsoloway · Partial

But what we want to do now is say to ourselves, okay, well, um, here we have a scenario where how much did we pull back? We pulled back about 47%. Okay, here we pulled back about 40%. So basically between 40 and 47% is the normal draw down. Well, what did we just see on Micron? We just talked about how if Micron drops where, how far down would it be? 44%. All right, what about Intel? Okay. And you guys see where I'm going with this, right? Is that the market, the natural correction, this would be about 50%. But that makes sense. Intel ran much, much more. It's more volatile than Micron, higher risk than Micron. But you guys see what I'm getting at is that it looks to me if we match it up in each of the three bull runs that the semis did since 2020, the co lows, they had a 240% run approximately, give or take a couple percentage points. when you're at 240%. Doesn't matter if it's 239, 238 or 241, 242. It's it's it's a rounding error at that point. And then you look at the pullback on each of those bare market periods and it's basically 40 to 47% and

Channel: garethsoloway
Prediction date: 2026-05-15
Horizon: 2026-08-15
Instrument: INTC · SHORT
Verdict: Partial
Outcome: Partial: P/L +682.0% · vs SPY +1185.0%

Source: Source · 06:53 ↗

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INTC SHORT prediction · garethsoloway · Partial