#Industrials / Defense · Pundit Scoreboard · Stock calls
80 calls
36 decided
23 hits
3 partial
10 misses
44 pending
🏆 The Scoreboard
⚡ Short <60 days
📈 Mid 60-360 days
🌳 Long >360 days
💡 Three time horizons: Short <60d · Mid 60-360d · Long >360d
💰 Avg P/L = equal-weight blind-follower model — average return per decided call
💸 Spectacular Misses
Sorted by loss magnitude. Up to 3 cards per pundit.
GEV SHORT
everyone was jazzed about the prospects of GE Vernova... Gnova got hit, it's still up nicely versus last year, but without a recognition that the data centers …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $322.84 → Exit $1,002.75 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -136.4%
AXON LONG
I think it's a fourdigit stock maybe even by the end of the year.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $780.63 → Exit $567.93 · P/L -27.2% · vs SPY -42.5% · Target $1,000.00
BA LONG
anyways i've hesitated to put a price target on it and i finally put a price target on it of 300 to me this is one of the last obvious value recovery plays
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $224.03 → Exit $173.80 · P/L -22.4% · vs SPY -32.9% · Target $300.00
RTX LONG
your general dynamics, your RTX, you know, your Rathons, your Lockheeds, your Northre Grumins, you know, these guys should theoretically see some tailwinds... …
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $211.28 → Exit $200.57 · P/L -5.1% · vs SPY -5.3%
CAT SHORT
Mary Joe and boy, Jim Umple is retiring... it's not expensive, but you're right. It may not be the time to own Caterpillar. It is a better there may be a bette…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $292.60 → Exit $835.24 · P/L -100.0% · vs SPY -133.8%
AXON LONG
I think it's a fourdigit stock maybe even by the end of the year.
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $780.63 → Exit $567.93 · P/L -27.2% · vs SPY -42.5% · Target $1,000.00
NOC SHORT
there is this North G, which I wouldn't touch until they start putting up better numbers. I feel bad about that. I usually like a bargain like that, but it doe…
VS Reality
Miss: Entry $454.74 → Exit $587.04 · P/L -29.1% · vs SPY -65.5%
🎯 Spot-On Calls
Sorted by realized gain. Up to 3 per pundit.
RKLB LONG
You know what this Rocket Labs initially I have to tell you because I don't like companies that lose a lot of money. I was skeptical, but so many companies nee…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $25.57 → Exit $124.77 · P/L +388.0% · vs SPY +362.1%
GEV LONG
the general General trend is very powerful growth uh through next year at the very least
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $400.23 → Exit $681.14 · P/L +70.2% · vs SPY +53.1%
CP SHORT
I recently sold 100% of one of my Holdings... the company that I sold is Canadian Pacific I sold out of the entire position
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $77.40 → Exit $72.46 · P/L +6.4% · vs SPY -12.3%
GEV LONG
this stocks come all the way down, but this is not a one-year thing. This probably lasts the rest of our lives.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $335.35 → Exit $1,149.53 · P/L +242.8% · vs SPY +208.9%
UNP SHORT
I sold entirely out of this position [Union Pacific]... I've continually felt like there's better opportunities for me to invest in companies that will offer m…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $231.27 → Exit $230.51 · P/L +0.3% · vs SPY -8.5%
AXON AVOID
This is sort of like somebody who's like an Olympic diver who just does the spin looks beautiful because the base looked great the breakout looked perfect... i…
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $513.22 → Exit $433.91 · P/L +0.0% · vs SPY -16.3%
GEV LONG
It takes a lot to buck the bomb voters, but G Vernova has not one, not two, not three, but four secular trends going for it.
VS Reality
Bullseye: Entry $449.05 → Exit $1,024.52 · P/L +128.2% · vs SPY +101.7%
🔮 Pending Verdicts
Bold calls whose horizon hasn't expired yet. Bullseye or miss?
AXON LONG
I'm going to send you to Axon.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-05 · 1 days remaining
CP LONG
when I track the fundamentals of this company and compare it with the stock price I believe it's a great company that's going on sale so I've purchased another…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-10-09 · 127 days remaining
NOC LONG
here to buy some of these names and i've been eyeing noc so if you look at noc right here it flushed down a lot and maybe it has somewhat of a falling wedge pa…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-11-12 · 161 days remaining
ARKQ LONG
I think this year I'm definitely going to lead a deal in this material science for AI... To give a hint, I think it's going to come down to specific verticals …
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-12-31 · 210 days remaining
GEV LONG
this is going to continue to be a tailwind for GE Vernova, uh, Simmons Energy... probably not going to uh dissipate in 2026
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-01-14 · 224 days remaining
NOC LONG
Number seven, the big legacy player, Northrup, Grumman, NOC. ... Why it could do well? Well, these programs have to get funded no matter who's president.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-01-14 · 224 days remaining
RTX LONG
I'm interested in adding to this. It's one of the relatively strong names
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-03-01 · 270 days remaining
UNP LONG
I think it's good for them and I think Union Pacific is the one that has lagged... I think it's a buy.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-11 · 7 days remaining
ARKQ LONG
they are way ahead of us in um in drones and EV talls and so forth. In fact, many of our companies are commercializing first in the Middle East because our reg…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-01-15 · 225 days remaining
GEV LONG
Presumably the results will be strong... GE Vernova does have lumpy earnings... but very strong. The question is how much stronger can you get if you've alread…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-01-23 · 233 days remaining
CP LONG
that means that Canadian Pacific is going to double their earnings per share over the next 5 years so we could see their earnings per share going from around $…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2028-11-20 · 900 days remaining
LMT LONG
I like Loheed Martin too much to tell you to do that... every time I see I see Jim Tlet, I say to myself, why does anyone want to sell that stock with a 3% yie…
VS Reality
Horizon: 2026-06-24 · 20 days remaining
ARKQ LONG
But betting against AI capability improvements right now is a horrible horrible idea.
VS Reality
Horizon: 2027-01-28 · 238 days remaining
UNP LONG
this is a company that I believe is a very attractive asset with a meaningful amount of upside and limited downside
VS Reality
Horizon: 2029-01-17 · 958 days remaining